What Light at the END of the Tunnel Looks Like

Fear is causing a lot of folks to accept safe slavery as a viable option.  Others say "I'd rather have dangerous liberty than safe slavery".   As things wind down despite the fearmongering, we will find more and more saying the same thing. 

Using a factor of only 20% (1.2 multiple) increase per day to start, here's how it plays out and how the rate of increase is declining.  Pandemics are never cumulative, they are exponential till they are exhausted.  When we see no more increase (virtually) we are over the pandemic.

EXPONENTIAL PROJECTION V ACTUAL COUNTS 

  April 1st Actual 4,000 dead
  
Projecte  4,800    2  Actual 5100
      5,760    3  Actual 6059     demonstrated multiple
      6,912    4  Actual 7146     1.21
      8,294   5  Actual  8492     1.18
      9,953    6  Actual  9643    1.21
    11,944    7  Actual 10,980   1.17
    14,333    8  Actual 12,905   1.14
    17,199    9  Actual 14,814   1.12

Based on this here's the new likely outcome with declining increases in death.
April

10    16,592    1.12  actual 16,693
11    18,583    1.12  actual 18,771
12    20,813    1.12  actual 20,473
13    23,310    1.12  actual 22,106 (1.08 multiple)
14    26,107    1.12  actual 23,649 (1.07 multiple)
15    29,240    1.1
16    32,164    1.1
17    35,381    1.1
18    38,919    1.1
19    42,811    1.05
20    44,951    1.05
21    47,199    1.04
22    49,087    1.03
23    50,559    1.02
24    51,570    1.02
25    52,602    1.01  My predicted end


 It is clear now from the exponential rise and fall of total loss of life due to coronavirus will be about 50,000 souls more or less by the time things start falling fast.  The total loss by August will  be less than 70,000.

This is about the loss of life from an ordinary flu season.  The old,  in-firmed and compromised are dying first.  Every soul is precious, but every soul has an end they must face.  Some who faced death and succumbed in this time were on the edge when they may or may not have become attacked by the Virus.

What has made this so much more difficult is how unknown this is.  How there is no "Cure" nor Vaccine for it.  Of course there are some efficacious treatments that are working in other parts of the world like France.  They are not yet widespread here.

The political forces arrayed against life are willing to sacrifice people in exchange for posturing.  Of course these same voices will argue that when measures are made to attempt to return society to some form of restoration, they will cry dollars over deaths.  These same are quite happy to promote abortions because having a child is "Inconvenient".

So be careful who you listen to.  Who is speaking lies and truth.  The truth is Life is for the Living.  At some point we must bury the dead and move forward.  I think the instruction is understood for being careful as we move on.  Let us measure the cost of freedom and life versus virtual martial law and confinement.

50,000 by mid May, 70,000 by August.  Too much?... you decide.  We decide.