A critical creative look at issues of Economics, Politics and Finding a Purpose in Life - Let's talk about it. I try to leave the woodpile higher than I found it.
Saturday, May 10, 2008
Oil Price Crash - It's not just me
Friday, April 25, 2008 5:56 p.m. EDT
Is $120 oil even real? Not if you ask the Saudis, or even Lehman Bros.
The investment bank’s oil expert said this week that the oil boom is due to bust. Economic growth across the globe will slow just as new refineries kick in, raising supply.
Recession or not, a U.S. slowdown will slacken demand sharply, right as new oil hits the market. "Supply is outpacing demand growth,” said Michael Waldron, Lehman’s oil strategist.
"Inventories have been building since the beginning of the year. We have pretty significant projects starting soon in Saudi Arabia, and large off-shore fields in Nigeria,” he said.
Lehman is now predicting prices at $83 a barrel in 2009 and as low as $70 in 2010.
Although some years off, Brazil too has found as much as 8 billion barrels of light oil and gas offshore. The South American giant’s president says his country might well join OPEC when the Tupi field begins to pump, in 2011.
In addition, Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds have pushed up the oil price by investing billions of their oil gains, ironically, in commodities index funds.
Now they could be looking to get out, warns Waldron. He figures the money effect has driven anywhere from $20 to $30 into the barrel price.
In addition, a weak dollar is holding oil prices high, according to a series of statements from OPEC leaders over the past week.
If you buy the views of OPEC’s various leaders, that’s at least another $20 of oil price that is not supported by the actual supply and demand situation.
In addition, Europe’s central bank seems bent on containing inflation there. A rate increase in Europe is sure to contain the euro’s rise against the dollar — if serious steps are taken soon.
Couple that with a lower-than-expected rate cut in the U.S. next week, or perhaps no cut, and the oil price drops as the dollar gains ground.
All this is having little immediate impact now, of course. U.S. gas prices at the pump hit $3.58 a gallon just as the summer driving season kicks off.
If nothing changes, analysts now expect gas to rise to as high as $4 a gallon in as little as a month.
Prophecy at Pentcost
Peter on the rooftop. Acts 10:15 "Again a voice came to him a second time, "What God has cleansed, no longer consider unholy."
Test me in this," says the LORD Almighty, "and see if I will not throw open the floodgates of heaven and pour out so much blessing that you will not have room enough for it.
- Words of supernatural knowledge
- Words of extraordinary supernatural wisdom
- Boldness of supernatural faith
- Ministry of supernatural healing
- Prophetic supernatural encouragement
- Proclamation releasing supernatural miracles
- Discerning beyond your ability to recognize spirits of good and evil
- Supernatural ability to speak in tongues you don't know
- Supernatural ability to interpret the utterance of tongues unknown.
Test Me now in this," says the LORD of hosts, "if I will not open you the windows of heaven and pour out you a blessing until it overflows.
Friday, May 09, 2008
I think I see God in all this
Relief is available just off shore but the Military Government won't allow it to be distributed.
It's all so horrible.
But, whenever i see massive pain and death and suffering and oppression and human cruelty I see God's manifested hand in curing a festering pustule on the face of the earth.
He has done it before and he will again.
Spurgeon said, no person dies before they fulfil their purposes in God. Till then they are immortal.
I think there are a lot of people fulfilling God's will and paying an ultimate price to get it done to expose and destroy evil from the earth.
The fight for freedom is watered by the blood of patriots
How many longs are left in the market?
Breaking a Vow
NOTSOFAST said the not so warming global. It got close to ice water again last night. We had to turn the heat on this morning.
My global warming rear end can't take much more. It was the coldest April in almost history.
First two weeks of MAY are way way way below normal in temps.
This stinks.
Up in MN they can't get crops in the ground for all the snow.
Al Gore, you huckmeister. You scamomatic. I want an answer. You claimed that the Typhoon in Burma was because of Global Warming. Bulloney.
How bout my frozen tush. HMMM?
I don't ever want to hear about CO2 in the atmosphere and the phony danger it provides again.
AL baby, if you are going to start a religion, you should have some truth to start it with.
Apparently you missed that part of the "how to start a new age religion" course.
Do Over, and next time try to not make it so far out.
No one believes in your fairy tale any more.
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Sleeping all Night is a Gift of God
Last night, after dealing with it all, I slept wonderfully. I would say I slept like a baby, except a baby wakes up every two hours and cries. I've done that too.
No, last night I slept like Proverbs 3:24 When you lie down, you will not be afraid. Yes, you will lie down, and your sleep will be sweet.
And I know that while I sleep God is in his heaven's working things out despite my best efforts to screw it up. Psalm 127:2. It is vain for you to rise up early, To retire late, To eat the bread of painful labors; For He gives to His beloved even in his sleep.
So, I'm thankful, as older men often are, for a good night's sleep. And, I know to whom I am thankful.
It's all how you look at it
Her conclusion was that conservatives were more likely to rationalize away inequalities in life.
I'm going to call it as I see it. This writer of the article warped research to fit a liberal set of lenses. To put it another way, she determined a long time ago that she was not going to allow the basic premise of the research to stand alone without her liberal bias reporting. Read her article first. IMHO It was snarky and liberal in it's condescension.
But, a very clever writer over at SerandEz rewrote the article from a more conservative viewpoint:
Individuals with conservative ideologies are happier than liberal-leaners, and new research pinpoints the reason: Democrats are unable to comprehend social and economic inequalities.The last conclusion about equality in marriage and conservatives was for this marriage counseling guy a bit over the top.Regardless of marital status, income or church attendance, right-wing individuals reported greater life satisfaction and well-being than left-wingers, the new study found. Conservatives also scored highest on measures of comprehension, which gauge a person's ability to understand the reasons for and existence of inequalities.
The comprehension measure included statements such as: "Due to a myriad of differences in circumstances which may or may not be able to be addressed, some people have more of a chance in life than others to achieve certain things," and "This country would be better off if we worried less about how equal people are."
To understand economic inequalities, a person would point to the idea of meritocracy, in which people move up their economic status in society based on hard work and good performance. In that way, one's social class attainment, whether upper, middle or lower, would be understood as totally fair and justified.
If your beliefs don't justify gaps in status, you could be left frustrated and disheartened, according to the researchers, Jaime Napier and John Jost of New York University. They conducted a U.S.-centric survey and a more internationally focused one to arrive at the findings.
"Our research suggests that inequality takes a greater psychological toll on liberals than on conservatives," the researchers write in the June issue of the journal Psychological Science, "apparently because liberals lack the comprehension that would help them frame inequality in a positive (or at least neutral) light." Liberals tend to believe that the differences among individuals in terms of intelligence, effort, what choices they make in life, or other factors should not matter. They feel that regardless of those differences, all people should end up with everything in equal amounts and at similar levels.
The results support and further explain a Pew Research Center survey from 2006, in which 47 percent of conservative Republicans in the U.S. described themselves as "very happy," while only 28 percent of liberal Democrats indicated such cheer.
The same rationalizing phenomena could apply to personal situations as well.
"There is no reason to think that the effects we have identified here are unique to economic forms of inequality," the researchers write. "Research suggests that highly egalitarian women are less happy in their marriages compared with their more traditional counterparts, apparently because they are more troubled by disparities in domestic labor."
The article said:
"Research suggests that highly egalitarian women are less happy in their marriages compared with their more traditional counterparts, apparently because they are more troubled by disparities in domestic labor."Where is it written in any holy script anywhere that men and women are the same? There is no egalitarianism in marriage. The husband must love his wife beyond measure and give himself up for her, even to the point of dying for her if need be, the wife is only to respect and honor her husband. She doesn't even have to love him. Besides, when a woman is younger she will only love him half the month anyway. The other half she'll hate him. She only needs to honor and respect him. God did not design marriage to be egalitarian at any level except in commitment which is not 50-50. It must be 100-100%
That is not by any means an egalitarian relationship. It's fully asymmetrical. And women in that kind of marriage are happier because it's REAL love, a God kind of Love. Nothing will make you happy except that.
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
When you see Oil Rigs in People's Backyard, the price bubble is about to burst
When the Price of Oil Drops it's Going to Scare a Lot of People
In Alberta this article about surviving the oil price collapse:
Read the whole thing."Money is desperately trying to find a place where it can still get a return," he said in describing oil's current global use as a financial asset akin to gold, diamonds or rare art while the value of mainstays from houses to the American dollar decays.
"There is intense speculation," Hall said. "We have a term for that in economics. It's called a bubble.
"The risk is squarely on the down side," he said. "We're at a dangerous point in the world business cycle. Risks are elevated. They are about as elevated as they ever get."
On Speaking inTounges
But, that's OK.
Dan over at Cerulean Sanctum has a great post on this with some comments.
I can only add that if My Bible is still accurate, God's will is that we all speak in tongues.
I have fond nothing contrary.
"Brothers" I don't Respect Much
I think it's possible to name the name of Jesus and not know Him. They may come under the heading of "So Called Brothers".
Bill Moyers did it again today.
Seeing should not be Believing
The Obama rally as seen from the other end of Reynolds:
Read the whole thing regarding these photo's here.
Discipleship Gone Bad
I have come to the conclusion that some people don't want help. They say the words but they don't respond.
I have just experienced the deep backsliding by two different men I have spent in one case years trying to disciple and help. One man has spiritually and in the area I was trying to encourage him, that man has made the decision to go back to the life he had before, one of defeat, one of loss, one of downward spiral.
The other man who has been a multi year discipleship effort has failed and is gone completely back to his old ways.
I could blame a lot of things. I could blame the fact that the Church they attend doesn't recognize the power of the Holy Ghost. That these men sought out discipleship only anemically.
When I got saved I looked for growth anywhere I could find it. Nothing would stop me. I was discipled by the best because I sought out the best.
For them I am thankful.
For the two men I have now failed with I point to 1 Peter 2:
13They will be paid back with harm for the harm they have done. Their idea of pleasure is to carouse in broad daylight. They are blots and blemishes, reveling in their pleasures while they feast with you.[e] 14With eyes full of adultery, they never stop sinning; they seduce the unstable; they are experts in greed—an accursed brood! 15They have left the straight way and wandered off to follow the way of Balaam son of Beor, who loved the wages of wickedness. 16But he was rebuked for his wrongdoing by a donkey—a beast without speech—who spoke with a man's voice and restrained the prophet's madness.
17These men are springs without water and mists driven by a storm. Blackest darkness is reserved for them. 18For they mouth empty, boastful words and, by appealing to the lustful desires of sinful human nature, they entice people who are just escaping from those who live in error. 19They promise them freedom, while they themselves are slaves of depravity—for a man is a slave to whatever has mastered him. 20If they have escaped the corruption of the world by knowing our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ and are again entangled in it and overcome, they are worse off at the end than they were at the beginning. 21It would have been better for them not to have known the way of righteousness, than to have known it and then to turn their backs on the sacred command that was passed on to them. 22Of them the proverbs are true: "A dog returns to its vomit,"[f]and, "A sow that is washed goes back to her wallowing in the mud."
I won't give up trying to help others, it's just that they are going to have to seek out what I can help them with and not the other way round.
Tuesday, May 06, 2008
confession
That's the problem, war goes well, people don't care
So they whine.
OK. Whine away.
No one is really interested in supporting opposition to a war that went pretty much OK.
Sorry folks. Losers are Losers.
Give his life for his friends or his daughter
A man, a minister's son, saves his daughter in an accident.
With all the bad news coming out of the south side of chicago. This is good news.
Except for him.
God sees our pain, but doesn't excuse it for our inaction or disobedience
I no longer carry the burden of the Mercy Gift like I did at one time. I'm far less likely to bail you out of situations than I was long ago. I'm no less loving, I'm just more discerning.
So, when a person in ministry won't or can't do something because of a hurt, a pain, a slight, a difficulty, are we allowed in ministry to use that as a reason NOT to do whatever God has called us to do? Don't you think God already knew your pain before you ever were called?
The reality is God loves you, he called you, he wants you to do whatever he called you to in spite of your pain, disappointments, or whatever else you are feeling at the moment.
You want Biblical examples? OK.
Here are a few:
Elijah in verse 19 of first Kings. He has killed the Prophets of Baal. He has done great things, but now feels alone,feels abandoned. No one but ME. God set's him straight and says, I have Thousands who have NOT bowed the Knee to Baal.
OR Jeremiah. Whines about how tough it is, God sets him straight in Jeremiah 4. God basically says to him, wait, you are not the only one.
Or Moses. He cries out to God, Only I alone. God wants to kill all the people and Moses coming to sanity says no.
Peter, John, all of them, before the outpouring of the Holy Ghost were spiritual wimps. Whining about this or that. God is patient. He's kind. But in the end, if he called you he will demand more of you than you knew going in he would.
It's not that He's mean. He's not. He's a good God. He just isn't impressed with self pity, self delusion as to our importance, selfishness of any kind.
God sees our pain, but doesn't excuse it for our inaction or disobedience
God, when he calls us into ministry expects much more from us. If you are satisfied to be never called, just warm a pew, just pay your money and go away, his call on you is limited. Your reward will be as well.
It's time to get serious about serving God. Either you are with him or against him.
Pain, whining, complaining or being in it for yourself will be the death of your ministry.
If I might speak by the Spirit of God. GROW UP ALREADY!!
Really effective ad against drug abuse
Practice what you preach, stop wagging your finger
You hippy-crites! When it comes to saving the planet do celebrities practice what they preach?
Is the hot air emitted by celebrities when they spout ecological platitudes a greenhouse gas?
If so, then the melting of the polar ice caps just moved a step closer, following calls by Trudie Styler, a leading celebrity ecological hypocrite - call them hippy-crites for short - for the general public to eat more locally grown vegetables.
Campaigning against food miles might seem an unlikely cause for Styler, given that a tribunal last year heard how she ordered her personal chef to travel over 100 miles to make a bowl of pasta for her youngest child and has sold olive oil and honey from her Tuscan estate, Il Palagio, 1,000 or so miles away, in Harrods in London.
So it was hardly surprising that an alert journalist present at the lecture, which was being staged as part of the Earls Court Real Food Festival, had the wit to question the environmental record of Styler and her husband Sting.
The couple's carbon footprint, the impertinent ink-stained wretch pointed out, has been estimated at 30 times greater than the average Briton's. How did Styler and Sting - who have seven homes - square that with their environmental crusading?
Styler conceded that as Sting "has a 750-person crew to bring around the world, it is a difficult challenge".
Her rare moment of ecological candour was shortly replaced by the more familiar self-congratulation and justification, however.
"I would like to think that we both work pretty hard for the rights of indigenous people and for the rights of conservation of the Amazon rainforest, but we do need to get around," she said.
Of course, Sting and Trudie's "do as I say not as I do" approach to the dilemma of environmental pollution is by no means unusual among the carbon-guzzling lifestyle of the celebrity elite.
Here's a roll call of some other startlingly hippy-critical celebrities:
Scroll down for more...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Does God Shorten Life for Believers who are Disobedient?
God is merciful and long suffering but he also knows our hearts and will not allow us to stay comfortable in our sin in disobedience. He will remove us bodily from the earth, shorten our lives, if you will, kill us to save our souls.
It is a fearful thing to fall into the hand's of an angry God.
Here's my Biblical Basis for this thesis.. To the questioner on the previous post, I hope this helps.
Acts 5 mentions Ananias and Sapphira, who died as a result of their sin. I know it's not popular, but I believe they went to heaven in spite of the fact God Killed them.
Deuteronomy 32:51-52, “Because ye trespassed against me among the children of Israel at the waters of Meribah-Kadesh, in the wilderness of Zin; because ye sanctified me not in the midst of the children of Israel. Yet thou shalt see the land before thee; but thou shalt not go thither unto the land which I give the children of Israel.” Moses’ life was shortened because of disobedience to God.
1 Corinthians 5:5, “To deliver such an one unto Satan for the destruction of the flesh, that the spirit may be saved in the day of the Lord Jesus.”
1 Corinthians 11:28-30, “But let a man examine himself, and so let him eat of that bread, and drink of that cup. For he that eateth and drinketh unworthily, eateth and drinketh damnation to himself, not discerning the Lord’s body. For this cause many are weak and sickly among you, and many sleep.” That means DEAD
1 John 5:16, “If any man see his brother sin a sin which is not unto death, he shall ask, and he shall give him life for them that sin not unto death. There is a sin unto death: I do not say that he shall pray for it.”
Fear God and Live
The Burden of the Prophetic
An Excellent Explanation from what appears to be Controversial Source
I thought it was so good at explaining the concept of greater works and why Peter walked on water.
Then in looking for it to post on this blog I ran into all kinds of people who find this man's teaching to be in error. He apparently is from the emerging church movement. I don't know much about all that. I just found his exposition pretty good. It's Rob Bell teaching on the Rabbi's dust.
So, watch the videos and ignore the offended. Jesus was really right when he said that the spirit of offense would rise at the end of the age.
Part one
Part Two
Feeding the hungry, clothing the poor, and getting people saved is not nessasarily the Gospel
Sunday, May 04, 2008
First REALLY NICE day
To the Open Minded Only
Are you open minded. If you were misled by a well oiled machine and were willing to dissuade from the misdirection you have experienced, would you be willing to examine the evidence to the contrary? That would be open minded.
If the answer is NO, "I refuse to hear anything other than the narrow reality I have been instructed in, then I can't help you and neither can anyone else". You'll live in your continued deluded state till hell freezes over which apparently it may well be on the way to doing.
If the answer is "OK, it's possible for me to hear another reality, another possibility, another argument", then please read this compilation on the whole global warming debate.
If after you read this you are still convinced that the proponents of Global Warming are right and everyone else is wrong, then I have done my best. If after reading this you might consider that possibly the Jury is Still out on all that (George W Bush 2003) please reconsider everything you have been told. You have been lied to.
I want a clean environment. It's just the whole carbon footprint and CO2 fear is going to kill us all. I'm trying to help.
This is Chilling
That's the name of the post on Chicago Boyz.
It propounds the idea that you and I should not allow our children in contact with children who have not been vaccinated against measles.
WOW.
That is so wrong and so over the top in more ways than I can possibly imagine.
Lee Grady brings Balance
I have been talking on this blog about the remarkable things going on in Lakeland Florida. I have also been asked questions about what that all means from good Christians around the world. Lee Grady is a "Friend of Mine". OK, I've met and talked to him and from time to time correspond with him. Not someone who will show up for my funeral but what he has to say about what is happening in his back yard is worth considering:
Your Hands Have Been Anointed to Heal
5/2/08
By J. Lee Grady
In the days of Jesus, rabbis observed a myriad of extra rules that were not in Scripture. Their legalistic code focused on what they could and could not touch. These guys invented the original version of the holier-than-thou religion. They stayed away from women, children, dead bodies, lepers, beggars, sinners, blood, shellfish, pigs and—especially—people of other ethnic backgrounds. They didn't want "unclean" gentiles to corrupt them.
The Pharisees, especially, were obsessed with hygiene. They had a rule for everything from how to wash dishes to how to stay ceremonially clean after walking in the streets. That's why they got upset when they saw that Jesus' disciples didn't follow the standard Jewish hand-washing ritual.
They asked Jesus: "'Why do your disciples not walk according to the tradition of the elders, but eat their bread with impure hands?'" You can almost hear their smug, nasal tone. Jesus' reply was blunt. He called His inquisitors hypocrites; then He chastised them for "'teaching as doctrines the precepts of men'" (Mark 7:5-7, NASB).
After Jesus rebuked their hypocrisy He immediately left His sanitary Jewish environment and went north, to the gentile city of Tyre. There He healed a Syrophoenician woman's daughter. (Any other rabbi would have avoided her like the plague.) Then He traveled to the Decapolis region and healed a deaf and dumb villager. Some scholars say this poor guy was a gentile, too.
Jesus broke every religious rule in the Pharisees' hand-washing manual when He performed this miracle. The Bible says He put His fingers in the man's ears, spit on His hands and touched the man's tongue with His own saliva (see Mark 7:33). Eeuuww! Jesus was not concerned about germs or spiritual defilement, and I doubt He used hand-sanitizer after the man was healed.
Jesus was making a point. He didn't come to earth to spend His time washing his hands inside a synagogue. His message was not about what not to eat or who to avoid. He came to touch dirty people. He came to cleanse lepers, heal bleeding women, hold children, eat with tax collectors and forgive prostitutes. He even visited a cemetery so He could cast devils out of a lunatic! That's our Jesus.
Too often we fall under the influence of the "religious sanitation police." Before you know it, we too are sequestered inside our holy walls, compulsively washing our hands and obsessing over who wore what and who went where. Legalism is a tool of the devil, but it masks itself as a Christian virtue. Ultimately it has no power over sin and it eventually causes spiritual sterility.
I believe the American church today must confront the spirit of the Pharisees head-on. Religious systems despise healing, and they certainly don't endorse touching the addicted, the diseased, the demonized or the dying. Many sectors of the church have rejected God's healing power altogether, and they certainly don't encourage Christians to touch the pain of our generation.
They think holiness is about isolation. On the contrary, true holiness invades sickness, sin and shame—and overcomes it.
We are on the verge of a holiness invasion today. My friend Matt Sorger, a young healing evangelist based in New York, has recently seen a surge in miraculous healings in his meetings in the United States. He wrote recently:
"As the weight of His glory has filled entire rooms, His healing grace and presence has been sweeping over the people—healing them right in their seats! We worship until His glory comes and then He does the rest. There is a new realm of corporate healing glory being released. We call out a sickness by the Holy Spirit and it gets healed. It's just that easy. It's not hard in the glory!"
Matt also adds that humility is important as we enter this season of healing. "It is very important to stay humble and pure in heart and to always give the glory and honor to God and not place the focus on ourselves. This will be vital to maintaining the purity and integrity of God's move."
This movement of healing is not about one evangelist or one particular revival phenomenon. God wants a holy breakout. He intends for all believers to lay hands on the sick and to restore the broken. The same Holy Spirit who anointed Jesus to cleanse lepers has empowered us with a healing touch. Please don't sit on your hands during this crucial hour.
---------------------------
J. Lee Grady is editor of Charisma.
http://www.faithnews.cc/articles.cfm?sid=8886
© 1999-2008 Church of God Communications.