What BAD Governance in ILLINOIS looks like

Illinois has 102 Counties.  7 counties make up 95% of all the deaths from Corona Virus in the whole state.  That means that 95 counties that behaved themselves are now being punished by a lock-down from the big boy Pritzger.  If you look at the map on this link, you will see that most of the counties have sufferer only 1 or fewer fatalities.  Yet Chicago and Cook Country pile up the Bodies like crazy. Illinois is not homogeneous.  It is two very different places.  7 county and the rest.  Time to break this mess into two states and let the new state buy it's own dead.

Look at this Link for the background to the two maps below:

The LIES of NYC exposed

Today the exponent of increase spiked lot.  It turns out it was all a lie. Twenty percent per day increase in one day.  If that keeps up it's bad news.  Changes a lot.  But the statistic up till the 15th are actual number of deaths.  The size of the exponent changes everything. Let's hope it stays down.   Might be an anomaly.  See the charts for information on this.

10    16693    1.12
11    18771    1.12
12    20473    1.1
13    22106    1.08
14    23649    1.07
15    26061    1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)

If nothing changes in % of increase
16    28,667    1.1 28,579 actual
17    31,534    1.2 34,784 actual??  I have doubts about this number.  New York is fabricating
 numbers.  The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture.  Suddenly the death toll was increased

Projected?
18    34,687    1.1  32,823 actual  You will note this is a much lower number than reported out yesterday.  People are lying to accuse Trump  The exponent is now much lower and can be now projected as such
19    38,156    1.1   38,046
20    41,972    1.1   41,114  Starting to slow
21    46,169    1.1
22    50,786    1.1
23    55,864    1.1
24    61,450    1.1
25    67,596    1.1
26    74,355    1.1
27    81,791    1.1
28    89,970    1.1
29    98,967    1.1
30    108,863    1.1
May 1    119,750    1.1  Would be a staggering number.  I don't believe it.. but important to know.

I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000.  The worst is over.

 THIS is the real chart

 Here's how New York Reported it out

A Perspective you can grasp

This is all designed to make President Trump look bad

These States Should be open now

The measure should be the number of deaths per million in population.  All states are not created equal--

NOT GREAT NEWS

Today the exponent of increase spiked a bit.  Ten percent per day increase.  If that keeps up it's bad news.  Changes a lot.  But the statistic up till the 15th are actual number of deaths.  The size of the exponent changes everything. Let's hope it stays down.   Might be an anomaly.

10    16693    1.12
11    18771    1.12
12    20473    1.1
13    22106    1.08
14    23649    1.07
15    26061    1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)

If nothing changes in % of increase
16    28,667    1.1 28,579 actual
17    31,534    1.2 34,784 actual??  I have doubts about this number.  New York is fabricating
 numbers.  The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture.  Suddenly the death toll was increased

18    34,687    1.1
19    38,156    1.1
20    41,972    1.1
21    46,169    1.1
22    50,786    1.1
23    55,864    1.1
24    61,450    1.1
25    67,596    1.1
26    74,355    1.1
27    81,791    1.1
28    89,970    1.1
29    98,967    1.1
30    108,863    1.1
May 1    119,750    1.1  Would be a staggering number.  I don't believe it.. but important to know.

I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000.  The worst is over.

We will suffer fewer than 40,000 deaths

As the decline in death counts accelerates and the exponent becomes smaller and smaller, the argument to continue our national nightmare in lock down is less and less tangible.

There will be many people pointing to Prayer, Social Distancing, Stay Home Orders, Drugs, Medical Care, Herd Immunity, Masks and Hand Sanitizers as reasons why this is working.

I won't argue that some of this is true.. yet perhaps the virility of the virus is overstated.  Surely those who were compromised already have been lost the most. They may not have made it into 2021 in any case.

Was it worth destroying the American Economic System for this?  Was it worth going into national debt at an insane rate in this?   40,000 is not insignificant.. but it could have been manageable without.

Here's what my best educated guess is.. you can take it or leave it.

 

No matter who wrote this, it's TRUE

The following is attributed to Bill O'Reiley.  It is likely not by him. That does not take away the insight and analysis shown in this piece.  Read it and prepare for TRUTH!

In 2016 America elected a new Sheriff: Donald J Trump. For decades the Chinese walked all over America but the new President said “not anymore”. Trump literally strangled China’s economy to the point their economy was in its worst free fall ever. Trump negotiated a new 50 billion trade agreement. He had Xi by the proverbial balls. America’s economy was on fire and unstoppable. President Xi Jingping knew he could not beat the USA militarily and he knew any domesticated economic attack would fail as our economy was too strong. He had to act. But how?

Enter the USA democrats led by Pelosi and Schiff. Impeachment. A hoax. A distraction for our people and President. Xi Jingping and his thugs see this. They aren’t stupid. They have very intelligent intellectual thinkers in their government. Now you must understand , the Chinese regime are truly Barbarians. Notice I did not say ALL CHINESE. The Chinese people are a good people. I enjoy my interactions with them. 

The communist regime has millions of its own citizens slaving in gulags simply for speaking against the government or openly practicing Christianity. Knowing they could not attack us openly they needed to be coy, like a deceptive fox. In my opinion, I believe the regime released a biological weapon upon the world that doesn’t kill everyone, but kills “enough,” especially the elderly and in-firmed. Back in WW 2 Hitler thought the same way. He got rid of what he considered the useless and rejects of society. 

Trumps task force uses models to figure things. Xi used and uses “models” too. He figured that if he killed a few of his own (a few hundred thousand to them would be a few out of 1.4 billion people) and spread the virus to other nations (especially to the USA) they would “level the economic playing field” and not have fired a shot. 

Losses of his own people were acceptable costs of a new war. When China’s own doctors attempted to sound the warning, they were immediately silenced. In fact one died and another has simply disappeared. Trump and the other allied leaders indeed KNOW this is what happened. They have under reported their own deaths. Trump knows he cannot outrightly seek retribution. His news conference today showed me this when he balked publicly about no outright retribution over Xi’s handling of this and he immediately brought up the “trade deal”. However, Trump wasn’t being weak, he too was now being coy. We know this was a biological weapon. The food market story is bullshit. 

Xi knows we know it. Trump also today announced he sent two battle groups of destroyers and other ships to sea several days ago to fight drugs and rogue actors like Iran should they try anything. 

I say he did this to show Xi he knows what has transpired (we have the greatest intelligence assets) and that they (the Chinese) should rethink further action. Politics is premier. We cannot overtly attack China for what they have done as we would also suffer greatly. We all know this. 

But China has temporarily achieved its goal. America was literally consumed by Trumps phony impeachment brought by the ultra left democrats (supported by democrat rank and file and one Republican Mitt Romney) and Xi Jingping saw an opening. He took it. Xi did what Trump usually does...he walked onto the world stage and threw a grenade into the “room” and left. It exploded in the form of this worldwide pandemic. It brought the USA and the rest of the world to its knees and leveled the economic playing field. 

Our economy is now near depression. Xi didn’t fire one bullet. Trump needed to up his game of chess and putting our Naval ships to sea was his next move. He said he is a “war” President. He is. 

But now on not one but two fronts. One front is the virus and the other front is the Chinese. While the Saudi’s and Russians are screwing with oil prices they aren’t overtly doing what this pandemic is doing. The drug smuggling story for dispatching the Naval Force is bullshit and the world knows it. I am of the opinion Trump can indeed bring us back from this catastrophe albeit with a changed playing field. 

But Trump is a genius in chess and financial matters. He’s become a champ at international politics too. I am sure Trump can once again lead the economy to even stronger strength and greatness the it was . He can do it quickly I’m sure of it. He has proved it. Xi Jingping needs to be sent a message loud and clear. NEVER AGAIN. We need to bring all of our critical manufacturing back from China beginning with our medicines they were recently threatening to withhold. We can do it immediately. Again, another reason for Trump putting to sea such a sizable Naval Force. Sending a clear message. 

We all must ride out the next few weeks. Then we and the world pick up the pieces and move on. The democrats who have given Xi this opening wrapped in a bow must pay a heavy price in November as they (the democrats) truly have cost and continue to cost America precious lives by the phony scandals. Nancy Pelosi continues to help the Chinese by her daily shameless attacks upon the President and meddling in stimulus packages as she did this last weekend. Yesterday’s statements she made were truly appalling and the lowest of low. I didn’t think she could go any lower. What a disgrace she is to our nation. 

But, Pelosi aside, make no mistake, China must and will be taught a lesson the likes they have never seen before and Trump is the man to pull the trigger. 

We the people must teach the democrats the same lesson at the polls. They (the radical wing of the party) are the enemy of a free America. I am certain of it. The entire democrat party of our forefathers is dead. Remember people, Trump indeed tried to warn us all of the Conavirus in his State of the Union Speech. He spoke of it. He said he was on top of it. 

After he spoke , Nancy Pelosi ripped up the speech calling Trumps words “a manifesto of lies”. She disgraced the country and all of our fellow honored citizens present in the House Chamber. Well she now has American blood on her hands. She is very majorly responsible for these needless deaths as well as the Chinese. Her and Adam Schiff. 

The left and democrats laughed as she tore up his speech. Well, as they laughed the disease he just spoke of in that speech came to our shores. Republicans and Democrats alike are now dying. Your family members and mine. Our grandparents and middle aged citizens alike. Bodies are being loaded in trucks with forklifts in Brooklyn outside of hospitals. No one is safe. Our liberty is for the most part suspended. As we bury our dead (without proper funerals) from this calamity let’s drive the nails into the coffin of the Democrat party as well in November.

The curve has been flattened...now what?

We were all told that we had to shelter in place because we needed to flatten the curve so as not to overwhelm medical facilities. 

Well, that is now passing. 

But we are still being told to stay inside, wear masks and keep our distance.

WAIT.. if the curve is flattening, why are we still inside?  I don't mean open everything up all the way everywhere.  I am saying that somethings need to open.

Parks, Golf, Fishing, Boating, Gardening and a zillion other things.

MAKE IT SO MR PRESIDENT

What Light at the END of the Tunnel Looks Like

Fear is causing a lot of folks to accept safe slavery as a viable option.  Others say "I'd rather have dangerous liberty than safe slavery".   As things wind down despite the fearmongering, we will find more and more saying the same thing. 

Using a factor of only 20% (1.2 multiple) increase per day to start, here's how it plays out and how the rate of increase is declining.  Pandemics are never cumulative, they are exponential till they are exhausted.  When we see no more increase (virtually) we are over the pandemic.

EXPONENTIAL PROJECTION V ACTUAL COUNTS 

  April 1st Actual 4,000 dead
  
Projecte  4,800    2  Actual 5100
      5,760    3  Actual 6059     demonstrated multiple
      6,912    4  Actual 7146     1.21
      8,294   5  Actual  8492     1.18
      9,953    6  Actual  9643    1.21
    11,944    7  Actual 10,980   1.17
    14,333    8  Actual 12,905   1.14
    17,199    9  Actual 14,814   1.12

Based on this here's the new likely outcome with declining increases in death.
April

10    16,592    1.12  actual 16,693
11    18,583    1.12  actual 18,771
12    20,813    1.12  actual 20,473
13    23,310    1.12  actual 22,106 (1.08 multiple)
14    26,107    1.12  actual 23,649 (1.07 multiple)
15    29,240    1.1
16    32,164    1.1
17    35,381    1.1
18    38,919    1.1
19    42,811    1.05
20    44,951    1.05
21    47,199    1.04
22    49,087    1.03
23    50,559    1.02
24    51,570    1.02
25    52,602    1.01  My predicted end


 It is clear now from the exponential rise and fall of total loss of life due to coronavirus will be about 50,000 souls more or less by the time things start falling fast.  The total loss by August will  be less than 70,000.

This is about the loss of life from an ordinary flu season.  The old,  in-firmed and compromised are dying first.  Every soul is precious, but every soul has an end they must face.  Some who faced death and succumbed in this time were on the edge when they may or may not have become attacked by the Virus.

What has made this so much more difficult is how unknown this is.  How there is no "Cure" nor Vaccine for it.  Of course there are some efficacious treatments that are working in other parts of the world like France.  They are not yet widespread here.

The political forces arrayed against life are willing to sacrifice people in exchange for posturing.  Of course these same voices will argue that when measures are made to attempt to return society to some form of restoration, they will cry dollars over deaths.  These same are quite happy to promote abortions because having a child is "Inconvenient".

So be careful who you listen to.  Who is speaking lies and truth.  The truth is Life is for the Living.  At some point we must bury the dead and move forward.  I think the instruction is understood for being careful as we move on.  Let us measure the cost of freedom and life versus virtual martial law and confinement.

50,000 by mid May, 70,000 by August.  Too much?... you decide.  We decide.