Saturday, April 04, 2020

Crisis creates clarity

The debate over immigration is over: restriction wins.
The debate over borders is over: they are needed.
The debate over globalization is over: the era of autarky begins.
The debate over Europe is over: it is a geographic expression, not a polity.
The debate over global warming is over: it is irrelevant.
The debate over international institutions is over: only nations matter.
The debate over the People’s Republic of China is over: it is a menace to the community of nations, not a member in good standing.
Crisis is clarity.
This has been an era of clarification.

Think Neil Young... Worthless Worthless Worthless

I like the Neil Young Helpless song better... but these are garbage people

Every Business is Essential... and Many are going away

Original Article

No matter what you think of the type of business, they have employees who suffer first.  Go ahead and get your hate-on about whomever, but the wage earners will be out of jobs.

Most businesses operate on tiny margins, especially stores and restaurants.  Now, restaurants that can do takeout are managing, mostly (at reduced capacity and with reduced employees). But fine dining establishments or sit-down-only ethnic restaurants aren't. They're closed. That means no income for any of the owners or employees, followed shortly by no income for the landlord, who is also probably a small business, so stow your socialist-indoctrinated hate.

Keep in mind that every one that fails means unemployed workers as well.  And just because YOU can find a workaround for their product, doesn't put money in THEIR pocket.

Theaters, who have managers, ushers, concessionaires, ticket takers.

Restaurants and bars who have managers, cooks, servers, cleaners.

Restaurants need food suppliers. If they're not selling food, they're not ordering food from the suppliers. (One correspondent reports his factory produces sliced cheese.  80% drop in orders with so many restaurants closed or doing less business.)

Specialty retailers--bookstores, hobby stores.

Hotels--no one is renting rooms if they're not traveling for leisure or business. Hotels employ maintenance, housekeepers, clerks, often entertainers.

Convention facilities--who have lots of overhead, and lots of staff and/or contractors for support, displays, decorations, etc.

Venues for music or live theater.

Gyms aren't getting anything without guests and attendees.

MUSICIANS, ACTORS AND OTHER PERFORMERS for whom you've cancelled literally every gig in the next quarter. I know a couple of bona-fide rock stars, who don't earn nearly as much as you think they do, who have to hold out until JUNE hoping for potential shows. Their entire tours have been cancelled.

Event planners for weddings and other events. There's no venues to hold them in.

Anything tourism related--retailers, guides, other activities.

Transportation related to those--airlines (already taking massive hits), tour buses.

Doctors are knowledgeable about medicine. Do you know who the most famous doctor put in charge of an economy was?

Che Guevara, in Cuba. Okay, so a racist, homophobic, hypocritical murderous thug isn't really a valid comparison. But he knew nothing of economics and it showed. The CDC should not be making economic policy.

The point is there are ZERO non-essential jobs in even our nominally free (though massively government controlled) market.  If a job doesn't generate income, it goes away.

The question comes down to: How many people are you willing to starve and murder over a virus that the experts agree won't be significantly worse than the four previous major viruses, in the last half century?  And if you can't name them without looking, then your opinion is irrelevant.

EVERY business is essential to the owner, the employees, and the families.

Friday, April 03, 2020

Seven cultural changes that could (or should) happen after the pandemic is over

The spectre of one's mortality that a global pandemic raises can be a needed and sobering opportunity to reconsider and reorder our lives, if we're granted them longer.

I read this article and decided to share some of what I believe is good thinking.

1. Massive Shift in Education

As schools and universities attempt to maintain learning through screens, it’s an opportune moment to consider whether one’s schooling is really ideal if it can be credited in half the time, through worksheets and video clips, and without in-person contact. Many people who never questioned the U.S. education conveyor belt are now filling in for it, suffering through mediocre, haphazard assignments.

Parents are getting a taste of what exactly their kids do all day. Some will discover that if a layperson can do the job of a credentialed teacher in half the time, maybe that’s an indication of serious lack. Families may discover that learning outside the default is more refreshing, less stressful, and less propagandistic.

We’ve discovered that many Americans value it mostly as a babysitting service. Many governors immediately disbanded classes for a third to a half of the school year — possibly to be renewed this fall — then continued collecting children in the same buildings for daycare and government feeding, even though congregating people like that is supposed to be too dangerous to hold school itself. Then they take billions of “emergency” dollars from the generation they aren’t educating to pay for…millions of public employees getting vacation for two to three months while parents try to do their jobs using badly designed filler?


2. Prepping for Emergencies

Lots of people just discovered they might go hungry without a weekly shopping run and open restaurants, and can’t manage common illnesses without using medical resources that might be needed for people with worse problems. Emergencies happen, and unprepared people make them worse for themselves and others. The more unprepared people we have, the greater a society’s dependency on government and propensity to panic.

Hopefully the shock of realizing these things will encourage at least some people to upskill. Keep a few weeks of food in your pantry at all times, and rotate supplies. Keep basic medicine on hand, and learn how to help people sick with common illnesses that won’t need a doctor if well-managed. And keep more than one roll of toilet paper in your bathroom.

3. More Flexible Work Environments

Speaking of government dependence, a free people does not let government control the half of their lives they spend earning their way in the world. Free people manage their own lives, and passive-aggressive people use government force to get stuff from others instead of negotiating directly for it.

The coronavirus offers workers an opportunity to do just that by forcing many into work-from-home arrangements. Many people, especially working mothers, would like to work from home more or completely, and have been either afraid or unable to leverage their employers into it. Showing their capability during this time gives them more leverage for this kind of negotiation in the future.
This is also a time for employers to stop forcing employees to sacrifice their families and health for employment. Because women are the child-bearers, the weight of being forced to work on an Industrial Era 9-5 hits us harder, but men also love families and need to have some ability to care for them outside of bringing home a paycheck.

4. Better Social Norms About Sickness

We all have heard people at some social event talking, as their kids stick fingers in the snack bowl, about how their family has been sick all week and they just ditched the fever yesterday. We all know people keep working while they are sick, and keep their kids in school although the kids are sick, because they want to bank their sick leave for vacations.

Now this kind of petty selfishness is widely recognized as such, hopefully people will continue to take more care about spreading germs to others. We’re all having a crash course in endangering the elderly, the young, and immune-compromised by going out while still contagious, not washing hands frequently and thoroughly, and touching.

5. Basic Financial Responsibility

Congress just sent billions of dollars to Americans they stole from the next generation without their consent because neither Congress nor Americans prepare for emergencies. It is a crying shame that we live on borrowed money and have nothing stored away against inevitable disasters, so dip our hands into the next generation’s pockets every time “something comes up.” This will lead to an unstoppable national financial disaster sooner or later.

Half of Americans say they couldn’t pay for a $1,000 emergency out of cash or savings. Excluding their mortgages, the average American has $38,000 in debt. That’s just plain irresponsible. This irresponsibility just cost the next generation $2 trillion plus interest for precisely zero government services to them, and the bailouts aren’t even close to ending.

6. Learning How to Live in Deprivation

Let’s face it: Most of us have pretty good lives. Even Americans who are poor are better off, materially speaking, than just about every other poor person in the world. There are many obviously great things about America’s affluence. There are also some bad things about it that a crisis like coronavirus can strip away.

The uncertainty we all are facing about our jobs, health, and the nation’s economy can prompt some empathy and constructive help for people who live in these kinds of circumstances every day. It should prompt all of us to reconsider our life priorities and how we manage the bountiful resources God and our wonderful country have made possible for us to acquire. If you still have a job, give to someone who doesn’t.

7. Revitalization of Community Relationships

When our governments failures, it finally will end the pretense that it’s someone else’s job to solve our personal problems.

Solving personal problems often requires a community. There are many problems so big that one person, family, or even community cannot handle it alone. This is called social capital, when relationships are as good as (or better than) money. Social capital is especially important to impoverished people and situations.

In my neighborhood, people are rallying around our local mom ‘n pop restaurants and buying more from them in hopes of keeping them afloat past the lockdowns. Of course, this is wonderful. But what are each of us doing right now to make sure this nascent neighborhood revitalization continues past the coronavirus crisis? Like restaurants that face closure when starved of customers, relationships and local organizations face closure when starved of time and attention.

Trading favors and volunteering is one essence of community, and lots of us haven’t given much of our resources to making sure these tiny social safety nets exist and preclude the need for massive, ham-handed government ones that will bankrupt us and our children. This moment is an opportunity to change that, and start investing our time and money in our communities for the long-term.

This is what it looks like as we move forward


Thursday, April 02, 2020

With Its Economy Collapsing, In An ACT OF ECONOMIC WAR, China Dropped the Coronavirus and Destroyed the Entire World Economy

And like Shake and Bake... We HELPED.

STOP THE INSANITY

Link Here

Fully Borrowed but Brilliant

From People's Cube

The unwashed masses will come out of this quarantine thoroughly washed, smelling of hand sanitizer, and with the realization that governments cannot be relied upon to protect and provide in a time of need, and that to be self-reliant is a better and safer way to go. With each passing moment, millions of idle minds around the world are getting infected with these and similar thoughtcrimes, which is worse than the very virus that had caused them to stay indoors and have idle thoughts.

By the time the pandemic is over, everyone will be convinced that…

  1. Open borders are a menace.
  2. Globalization is a menace.
  3. Public transportation is a menace, while private cars keep families safe.
  4. Public schools are a menace.
  5. Homeschooling is great.
  6. Gun owners have fewer anxieties to deal with during a crisis.
  7. Hollywood is a bunch of nincompoops.
  8. The mainstream media is a useless menace.
  9. Communists can't be trusted and are a menace.
  10. Capitalist enterprise reacts to emergencies faster and more efficiently, while the obstructionist bureaucracy is a menace.
  11. All essentials must be manufactured within our own borders.
  12. A businessman makes a better president than a career politician.

The newly washed masses won't say it for the record, but in their gut they will know that the truth is the exact opposite of what the progressives had been trying to convince them for decades. Thus the pandemic will have wiped out not just the country's economic gains in the last three years, but also the indoctrination gains this Party organ had made in the last fifteen years of speaking the current truth.

Perspective on the forecast Death Count

If we believe, as I do that about 200,000 people in the USA will die of the pandemic this year, it is important to understand what that means.

The population of the USA is 329,000,000 and 200,000 die, that is a percentage of casualty per population of .06%.

That means:

North Dakota with a population of 760,077 will at that percentage suffer 456 deaths

Illinois with a population of 12,700,000 will suffer 7644

Minnesota with a population of 5,611,000  will suffer 3366

I offer this not as a warning but as perspective.  You will want to see how the exponential increase will accumulate in the next 20 days.
 
The question that must be asked is, is the price being paid in our economy and it's destruction will be worth the facts.  I'm not ghoulish, I just ask.  These are tragic figures.. but a deep deathly depression is not an worthy price in my opinion.

Wednesday, April 01, 2020

What an Exponential Rise in Deaths Looks like as this comes down

Using a factor of only 20% increase per day here's how it plays out.  Pandemics are never cumulative, they are exponential till they are exhausted.
 
EXPONENTIAL PROJECTION V ACTUAL COUNTS 

  April 1st Actual 4,000
     4,800    2  Actual 5100
      5,760    3  Actual 6059
     6,912    4  Actual 7146
      8,294   5  Actual  8492
      9,953    6  Actual  9643
      11,944    7  Actual 10,980
14,333    8
17,199    9
20,639    10
24,767    11
29,720    12
35,664    13
42,797    14
51,357    15
61,628    16
73,954    17
88,744    18
106,493    19
127,792    20 April 20th

I am not convinced it will run the full course.  At some point the virus exhausts from a lack of vulnerable hosts and victims.  Yet, this is serious and needs to be understood by Mathematics.

Large portions of the US population will be left behind after the crisis

As I watch the news it has become apparent to me that there are a lot of people who have chosen not to be part of the  effort in redeeming and recovering from this virus in the United States.

These are the same people that complain that they don't get a fair break, that they somehow are discriminated against, that they are somehow victims  of society, that they have no opportunity. In fact the opposite is true yet these people as a population have been persuaded that they are second or third-tier citizens.   This results in resentments. It may be that they never join Society in their lifetime.  Perhaps their children or children's children will, but meanwhile they stay on the outside

I see this is a major tragedy. Look at the faces of those who are on the outside on television today and not being part of the fabric of America and you will understand what I'm talking about.

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Massie Was Right... This should have been on the record


Massie, and That Pesky Constitution, Hold Up COVID-19 Bailout Bill
Plus: civic dynamism on display, Justice Department embraces home detainment of federal prisoners, and more...


The House of Representatives is poised to vote on the $2 trillion COVID-19 relief bill that the Senate passed yesterday. But there's a snag: Rep. Thomas Massie. The Kentucky Republican reportedly wants colleagues back in D.C. for a regular, recorded vote this morning instead of the voice vote that was expected to take place today.

The House of Representatives is poised to vote on the $2 trillion COVID-19 relief bill that the Senate passed yesterday. But there's a snag: Rep. Thomas Massie. The Kentucky Republican reportedly wants colleagues back in D.C. for a regular, recorded vote this morning instead of the voice vote that was expected to take place today
 
"Members are advised that it is possible this measure will not pass by voice vote," House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer's office wrote in a Thursday advisory memo to members.

They of course DID vote on it, but the chickens in the house didn't go on record.  They are cowards.  I hope Massie sticks around.   He was right to challenge this.  

READ THE WHOLE THING 

This is actually Illegal.. but they do it anyway

Americans face nearly unprecedented travel restrictions inside US as states rush to stem coronavirus tide

This is why I am NOT traveling even though I should.

 Those are some pretty stringent travel restrictions




Civil Liberties Matter More Than Ever in a Pandemic This is not the time to stop asking questions.

1 in 5 Americans have been ordered to stay home. Major states and cities have been shut down.
Our response to the coronavirus represents the biggest challenge to the relationship between individuals and the government in this country since the Civil War, WW1 or WW2. These decisions will likely be debated by scholars and historians the way that the Habeas Corpus Suspension Act, the Espionage Act, Japanese internment camps, and other emergency decisions continue to be litigated.

A generation ago, the ACLU might have had something to say about the civil liberties implications of shelter-in-place orders. That was a different ACLU that at least pretended to care about civil liberties as an objective value, defending the civil rights of people it disagreed with. The new ACLU is an identity politics zombie whose only civil liberties concerns for the coronavirus response is that illegal aliens won’t be able to enter the country and that prison inmates should be released as quickly as possible.

Here's more to read on this

Worth Remembering in this Time

One ship sails East another West
By the self same winds that blow.
T'is the set of the sail and not the gale
That determines the way they go.

Like ships at sea are the ways of fate
As we voyage along through life.
T'is the set of the soul that decides the goal
And not the calm or strife.
 
 Ella Wheeler Wilcox


Author & Poet


1850 - 1919
 
 
Ella Wheeler Wilcox

Author & Poet

1850 - 1919
Ella Wheeler Wilcox

Author & Poet

1850 - 1919

Ella Wheeler Wilcox

Author & Poet

1850 - 1919

EXPONENTIAL CONRONAVIRUS DEATH COUNT

US deaths:

3/1: 2
3/2: 6
3/3: 9
3/4: 11
3/5: 12
3/6: 17
3/7: 19
3/8: 21
3/9: 26
3/10: 31
3/11: 38
3/13: 49
3/14: 58
3/15: 65
3/16: 87
3/17: 111
3/18: 149
3/19: 195
3/20: 263
3/21: 323
3/22: 413
3/23: 541
3/24: 704
3/25: 938
3/26: 1195
3/27: 1588
3/28: 2043
3/29: 2419
3/30: 2982