The Tide May Have Turned Already

Using a factor of only 20% increase per day here's how it plays out.  Pandemics are never cumulative, they are exponential till they are exhausted.

EXPONENTIAL PROJECTION V ACTUAL COUNTS 

  April 1st Actual 4,000
     4,800    2  Actual 5100
      5,760    3  Actual 6059
     6,912    4  Actual 7146    1.21
      8,294   5  Actual  8492    1.18
      9,953    6  Actual  9643    1.21
      11,944    7  Actual 10,980 1.17
      14,333    8  Actual 12,905 1.14
     17,199    9  Actual 14,814 1.12
20,639    10
24,767    11 
29,720    12
35,664    13
42,797    14
51,357    15
61,628    16
73,954    17
88,744    18
106,493    19
127,792    20 April 20th

I am not convinced it will run the full course.  At some point the virus exhausts from a lack of vulnerable hosts and victims.  Yet, this is serious and needs to be understood by Mathematics.