Saturday, September 26, 2020
Monday, September 14, 2020
Redeem Your Time. 10 Things that will find more time for YOU
1. If you want time to read and write, let the grass grow
Too many people occupy their time with tasks that while needed may not be the end of the world if they aren't done. Sometimes NOT doing something is more important
2. If you want to enjoy your meal, eat your dessert first
Of course you don't but, sometimes it's important to make a decision on what you really want.. and yes I had PIE for breakfast yesterday.
3. If you want to start a fire, concentrate your light.
This of course means focus focus focus. You can't accomplish what you don't focus on.
4. If it doesn't feel good, don't do it.
I'm not talking physical fitness, but we all know sometimes we agree to do something that doesn't feel right. This is that. If there's a check in your spirit don't do it.
5. If you want to get time, GIVE TIME
This is more true than you know. People you have helped will help you. Friends are important so invest in some good ones. They pay dividends.
6. If you want to get there, SLOW DOWN, Pace is more important than speed.
When hiring someone I always wanted a steady worker. Those who go like crazy for a few hours usually don't last. The tortoise wins. The hare is not what makes it all work. Slow DOWN and think thru what the task at hand is. Plan ahead. Plot it out. Make a list. Follow the plan. Stop chasing the bright shiny things.
7. If it costs less than $20 buy it.
Over-analyzing every single little thing when shopping is a real time waster. Just get what you need and trying to save 2 dollars on a 20 dollar item is suicide for time. My aunt and uncle use to drive 35 miles to save 15 cents on chicken. This is why people are poor. They can't make a decision and waste precious time.
8. If you don't take time to play, you will need to take time for illness
It is critical to enjoy life, take a nap, go for a walk, do something that gives you pleasure. Or you will die young
9. If you pay peanuts, you get monkeys and you work in a zoo.
This is not only true of employers, this is true of the things you hire people to do for your car, for your home improvement, for your health care and a thousand other things. Never hire the lowest bidder unless you KNOW the quality of his or her work. Don't spend money foolishly but hire the best not the cheapest. AND the Home Depot Slogan isn't true... You can do it, we can help.. not true. Sometimes you can't and shouldn't. You just might be that monkey building a zoo.
10. If you don't know where you are going, any road will get you there AND it does no good to get good mileage on the wrong road.
Aimlessness is the biggest time waster of all. Working hard at doing nothing is the worst kind of time suicide. We are told to redeem the time... but keeping busy at nothing is destroying the days you have.
Tuesday, July 07, 2020
The horror that black victim privilege has become
In a park. A white woman is holding her baby. Some black thugs, mostly women, come up and harass her. The tell her to put down the baby. She doesn't
They grab her and the baby goes flying. The woman is beaten first by one woman and then by the whole group.
I would call them animals but that is too kind. They are demons. link here
Make this video go viral. Cut and paste. http://praag.org/?p=20941
This is what happens when black people take their victim privilege so far that they can maim and even kill white folks because .... racism.
They grab her and the baby goes flying. The woman is beaten first by one woman and then by the whole group.
I would call them animals but that is too kind. They are demons. link here
Make this video go viral. Cut and paste. http://praag.org/?p=20941
This is what happens when black people take their victim privilege so far that they can maim and even kill white folks because .... racism.
Thursday, June 25, 2020
The Systemic Racism Myth Debunked
When I ask someone to tell me what systemic racism is or how to see it or recognize it by example I get the same few. They don't hold up.
All the examples apply to poor white, Asian and Hispanic people.
If you live in a poor zip code, your school is probably underfunded. That's going to make it hard to get a good education. This happens in schools all across the USA. The lack of a good education holds people back. Look at parts of white West Virginia and Tennessee. Those white kids are many times are as litereate as the worst graduates of the CPS. So is it systemic racism if it applies to poor white kids?
I hear a lot about outcomes. That people try to make it in life and it seems like some do better than others. That happens with every race of people. I can take you to western IL and show you people who's outcomes are worse than the worst of what you see in any black neighborhood. Is the fact that there are variation in outcomes is not an example of Systemic racism.
So to prove their point they point to the people in the legal system that may be biased but don't realize it. On the other hand there are many who bend over backwards to give people that might have been prejudiced against a leg up. If there are people prejudiced against black or hispanics in the legal system, I would call that RACISM, but not systemic.
Then there are examples of people black, white, brown, red or yellow who might claim systemic racism because they get behind. Say they get a speeding ticket they can't afford to pay, then they lose their licence then get picked up for driving without a licence and then can't get to work and end up in a bad way. That happens all the time, but it's not racism. It happens to everybody. Hispanics suffer more than others.
Many teachers, cops and judges treat young black males differently. They are a class unto themselves. They are the ones doing the bulk of bad things. But is that systemic racism? I don't think so. Race would be one of about 15 vaiables to check before you could call it systemic.
Of course it's hard not to think of single mothers, fatherless children, inferior section 8 housing that forces people to live around others without peers that can improve you, just bring you down. Gangs come from that. Isn't that the same as a poor white kid with a single mom, no dad in section 8 housing? Or hispanic?
Was there ever systemic racism? Sure when the Jim Crow and Apartheid (and segregation) were in force as law it fostered such. But there are a lot of years since then. There has actually been systemic countermeasures. Preferential treatment in education (college), Special Training for employment programs, Admissions to all sorts of programs closed to most white folks. That's pretty systemic.
No one disagrees that racism exists everywhere there are people around the world. Starting life at the bottom of the well for any reason will have more trouble climbing out. But that isn't systemic. In fact if you are a qualified black man about 30 for anything, there are large corporations begging to hire you. They have quota's.
Sure, there is driving while black and being shadowed by a store security person when you are black. That's not systemic, that's what happens. I was a teenage boy and teens in my day loved to shoplift. If as a teen growing up I went into a store I was shadowed. Not race, young punk kid. I also was pulled over from time to time to "Check my registration". I was 16 drove a fast car and looked like trouble. Pattern recognition, not systemic racism.
Systemic racism as a cry is whatever the race baiters, the politicians and the Woke folks say it is. Uncle Ben and his Aunt Jemima. They tell black folks how to feel and define what systemic racism is. Look at the insanity on the street and the monuments that have fallen.
I hate to mention it because I am not a fan, but we elected a mostly black president twice. If systemic racism was rampant.. how did that happen. Or is that an example of the absence of systemic racism.
The cry of systemic racism actually makes the problem worse. It is actually the most racist thing anyone can accuse a whole race of people of. White People are all the same, Systemically Racist.
That idea and attitude has no potential to improve relations. It is in fact the N word when you claim that all whites are racist (systemically). It is about as damaging as the idea of White Privilege. You can't build relationship on such accusation. THE N WORD!
All the examples apply to poor white, Asian and Hispanic people.
If you live in a poor zip code, your school is probably underfunded. That's going to make it hard to get a good education. This happens in schools all across the USA. The lack of a good education holds people back. Look at parts of white West Virginia and Tennessee. Those white kids are many times are as litereate as the worst graduates of the CPS. So is it systemic racism if it applies to poor white kids?
I hear a lot about outcomes. That people try to make it in life and it seems like some do better than others. That happens with every race of people. I can take you to western IL and show you people who's outcomes are worse than the worst of what you see in any black neighborhood. Is the fact that there are variation in outcomes is not an example of Systemic racism.
So to prove their point they point to the people in the legal system that may be biased but don't realize it. On the other hand there are many who bend over backwards to give people that might have been prejudiced against a leg up. If there are people prejudiced against black or hispanics in the legal system, I would call that RACISM, but not systemic.
Then there are examples of people black, white, brown, red or yellow who might claim systemic racism because they get behind. Say they get a speeding ticket they can't afford to pay, then they lose their licence then get picked up for driving without a licence and then can't get to work and end up in a bad way. That happens all the time, but it's not racism. It happens to everybody. Hispanics suffer more than others.
Many teachers, cops and judges treat young black males differently. They are a class unto themselves. They are the ones doing the bulk of bad things. But is that systemic racism? I don't think so. Race would be one of about 15 vaiables to check before you could call it systemic.
Of course it's hard not to think of single mothers, fatherless children, inferior section 8 housing that forces people to live around others without peers that can improve you, just bring you down. Gangs come from that. Isn't that the same as a poor white kid with a single mom, no dad in section 8 housing? Or hispanic?
Was there ever systemic racism? Sure when the Jim Crow and Apartheid (and segregation) were in force as law it fostered such. But there are a lot of years since then. There has actually been systemic countermeasures. Preferential treatment in education (college), Special Training for employment programs, Admissions to all sorts of programs closed to most white folks. That's pretty systemic.
No one disagrees that racism exists everywhere there are people around the world. Starting life at the bottom of the well for any reason will have more trouble climbing out. But that isn't systemic. In fact if you are a qualified black man about 30 for anything, there are large corporations begging to hire you. They have quota's.
Sure, there is driving while black and being shadowed by a store security person when you are black. That's not systemic, that's what happens. I was a teenage boy and teens in my day loved to shoplift. If as a teen growing up I went into a store I was shadowed. Not race, young punk kid. I also was pulled over from time to time to "Check my registration". I was 16 drove a fast car and looked like trouble. Pattern recognition, not systemic racism.
Systemic racism as a cry is whatever the race baiters, the politicians and the Woke folks say it is. Uncle Ben and his Aunt Jemima. They tell black folks how to feel and define what systemic racism is. Look at the insanity on the street and the monuments that have fallen.
I hate to mention it because I am not a fan, but we elected a mostly black president twice. If systemic racism was rampant.. how did that happen. Or is that an example of the absence of systemic racism.
The cry of systemic racism actually makes the problem worse. It is actually the most racist thing anyone can accuse a whole race of people of. White People are all the same, Systemically Racist.
That idea and attitude has no potential to improve relations. It is in fact the N word when you claim that all whites are racist (systemically). It is about as damaging as the idea of White Privilege. You can't build relationship on such accusation. THE N WORD!
You can't decide NOT to be Racist. It's impossible.
I don't pick up snakes. I don't fear them, but I avoid them. Not all snakes are dangerous or venomous, but some are and I would rather not be bitten. The reason? Pattern Recognition.
I won't go in a pond in Florida occupied by alligators. It's common sense. I know some people have an alligator for a pet. Not me. I'm not afraid, I just don't want to be eaten alive. I have never been bit by one, but I am aware and pattern recognition tells me to avoid them. It is said that Adolf Hitler had a pet alligators. It just died at 80 some years of age. Not for me.
When I am swimming in the ocean and someone says there are sharks nearby I am wary. I don't intentionally swim with the sharks. It seems like a bad idea. Sharks are dangerous. I have not personally been attacked by a shark, but I don't want to be. The thing is not ALL sharks are dangerous. Many are innocuous. BUT... I don't want to see the sharks ID when swimming. So I avoid them. Pattern Recognition.
When clouds form and thunder and lighting starts, I find a place with a roof over my head. If there are tornadoes in the forecast I am wary. I could stand out in the rain, but pattern recognition tells me to get inside.
If I see a pit bull with it's owner, I am wary and keep my distance. There are too many stories about pit bulls and people being mauled. I have not been mauled. Pit bull owners will tell you that not all pit bulls are vicious. I believe that but I don't know how to sort that from what I have heard. So I go with pattern recognition to stay safe.
If I see a family with a burka I don't try to engage them in a conversation. I don't offer to buy the husband a beer. I know there are many Muslims that are wonderful people. I know a few,, but when I encounter one, I leave them alone. Not all Muslims want to kill me, but some do. I have seen the videos in Dearborn MI. Death to America they say. If I knew more Muslims personally maybe my perspective built on pattern recognition would change. I know watching the Muslims beheading folks in the middle east built the wall higher for me. I can't go there because of Pattern Recognition.
SO
Police that encounter bad guys in their job are imprinted with pattern recognition. If they work in black neighborhoods, most of the bad guys are black. So a pattern is established. Even among black cops the pattern is ingrained and when they see a black guy driving, walking or in a store they are wary. Experience that created pattern recognition has programed their brains for suspicion based on skin color. Is it racism? Not as such. It is programming that comes from repeated experience. Pattern Recognition.
The reverse is true. Because the 9 deaths by unarmed black people at the hands of cops last year is a pattern amplified by the media, politicians and race baiters, black people distrust and resent the cops. Personal experience of being harassed by cops reinforces the pattern. They don't personally know many cops so they distance themselves. Every encounter with the police is considered life threatening. WHY? Pattern Recognition.
SO what is the answer? Can programming from pattern recognition be broken?
There are only two ways.
One. Personal engagement. I grew up without any engagement with black people. I probably never laid eyes on one until I was 8 years old. Before TV. When I got to college there were many that were classmates. I decided being curious to seek them out and befriend them. They were cautious at first but I persisted and became good friends with many. We even lived together for a while. It was fascinating and enlightening. I still stay in touch.
Then moving to the Chicagoland area I made it a point to become personally acquainted with and even friends with many black people. I enjoy the company and they have loved me back. It makes my life richer for it. I am thankful they accept me for who I am. Not the idea that I have black friends, but that the pattern needs to be broken.
This positive patterning by intention even manifested once in a foreign country when I was traveling on business. It was an international hotel and it was morning and I needed to have some breakfast. I tried to find a place to sit. It was crowded and everyone there was. I spotted a few black folks across the room and saw they had an empty chair. I assumed they were americans, probably military, so I went and asked if I could join them. They said yes and after sitting down discovered they were from Nigeria. We had a lovely conversation. But the idea that black equaled friendly to me revealed my internal pattern recognition programming was modifying.
YET... the riots on TV, the murders, the violence, the thuggery every day, the whining, the victim-hood is constantly modifying my pattern recognition programming. It is for most Americans. While no one dare talk about it, it is happening. The engagement knowing many wonderful black folks is constantly being challenged in my programming by events experienced or televised.
What must happen to change is engagement on a personal level to offset the visuals we see every day. My experience with those who are most racially biased among black people makes if more difficult to do so.
But the second is harder. Those who took part in all the violent protests did damage to the national pattern recognition programming. Even if people say the right words, they will not change the pattern. Washing feet, kneeling and kissing the shoes of black folks is not the answer. The answer is more difficult. The pattern being experience must change. I don't care what you believe about Bill Cosby, but the Huxtibles show did more for changing pattern recognition than most anything. Yet today we don't have those images. We are treated to angry black folks demanding reparations. Demanding JUSTICE without any clarity on what that might look like. Black people have to project a new pattern for the rest of society to recognize. We can only pattern what we see and experience. It is impossible to decide to reprogram your pattern. I know this is hard, it really is. But that is the only way.
You cannot change your pattern recognition by decision, only by experience. It's a two way street. First as a white man I have to want to change, but those black people who want the patterns broken to end racism have to do their part. As long as the culture is so broken and distant, the pattern cannot be changed.
You cannot simply decide NOT to be racist. It's all pattern recognition.
I won't go in a pond in Florida occupied by alligators. It's common sense. I know some people have an alligator for a pet. Not me. I'm not afraid, I just don't want to be eaten alive. I have never been bit by one, but I am aware and pattern recognition tells me to avoid them. It is said that Adolf Hitler had a pet alligators. It just died at 80 some years of age. Not for me.
When I am swimming in the ocean and someone says there are sharks nearby I am wary. I don't intentionally swim with the sharks. It seems like a bad idea. Sharks are dangerous. I have not personally been attacked by a shark, but I don't want to be. The thing is not ALL sharks are dangerous. Many are innocuous. BUT... I don't want to see the sharks ID when swimming. So I avoid them. Pattern Recognition.
When clouds form and thunder and lighting starts, I find a place with a roof over my head. If there are tornadoes in the forecast I am wary. I could stand out in the rain, but pattern recognition tells me to get inside.
If I see a pit bull with it's owner, I am wary and keep my distance. There are too many stories about pit bulls and people being mauled. I have not been mauled. Pit bull owners will tell you that not all pit bulls are vicious. I believe that but I don't know how to sort that from what I have heard. So I go with pattern recognition to stay safe.
If I see a family with a burka I don't try to engage them in a conversation. I don't offer to buy the husband a beer. I know there are many Muslims that are wonderful people. I know a few,, but when I encounter one, I leave them alone. Not all Muslims want to kill me, but some do. I have seen the videos in Dearborn MI. Death to America they say. If I knew more Muslims personally maybe my perspective built on pattern recognition would change. I know watching the Muslims beheading folks in the middle east built the wall higher for me. I can't go there because of Pattern Recognition.
SO
Police that encounter bad guys in their job are imprinted with pattern recognition. If they work in black neighborhoods, most of the bad guys are black. So a pattern is established. Even among black cops the pattern is ingrained and when they see a black guy driving, walking or in a store they are wary. Experience that created pattern recognition has programed their brains for suspicion based on skin color. Is it racism? Not as such. It is programming that comes from repeated experience. Pattern Recognition.
The reverse is true. Because the 9 deaths by unarmed black people at the hands of cops last year is a pattern amplified by the media, politicians and race baiters, black people distrust and resent the cops. Personal experience of being harassed by cops reinforces the pattern. They don't personally know many cops so they distance themselves. Every encounter with the police is considered life threatening. WHY? Pattern Recognition.
SO what is the answer? Can programming from pattern recognition be broken?
There are only two ways.
One. Personal engagement. I grew up without any engagement with black people. I probably never laid eyes on one until I was 8 years old. Before TV. When I got to college there were many that were classmates. I decided being curious to seek them out and befriend them. They were cautious at first but I persisted and became good friends with many. We even lived together for a while. It was fascinating and enlightening. I still stay in touch.
Then moving to the Chicagoland area I made it a point to become personally acquainted with and even friends with many black people. I enjoy the company and they have loved me back. It makes my life richer for it. I am thankful they accept me for who I am. Not the idea that I have black friends, but that the pattern needs to be broken.
This positive patterning by intention even manifested once in a foreign country when I was traveling on business. It was an international hotel and it was morning and I needed to have some breakfast. I tried to find a place to sit. It was crowded and everyone there was. I spotted a few black folks across the room and saw they had an empty chair. I assumed they were americans, probably military, so I went and asked if I could join them. They said yes and after sitting down discovered they were from Nigeria. We had a lovely conversation. But the idea that black equaled friendly to me revealed my internal pattern recognition programming was modifying.
YET... the riots on TV, the murders, the violence, the thuggery every day, the whining, the victim-hood is constantly modifying my pattern recognition programming. It is for most Americans. While no one dare talk about it, it is happening. The engagement knowing many wonderful black folks is constantly being challenged in my programming by events experienced or televised.
What must happen to change is engagement on a personal level to offset the visuals we see every day. My experience with those who are most racially biased among black people makes if more difficult to do so.
But the second is harder. Those who took part in all the violent protests did damage to the national pattern recognition programming. Even if people say the right words, they will not change the pattern. Washing feet, kneeling and kissing the shoes of black folks is not the answer. The answer is more difficult. The pattern being experience must change. I don't care what you believe about Bill Cosby, but the Huxtibles show did more for changing pattern recognition than most anything. Yet today we don't have those images. We are treated to angry black folks demanding reparations. Demanding JUSTICE without any clarity on what that might look like. Black people have to project a new pattern for the rest of society to recognize. We can only pattern what we see and experience. It is impossible to decide to reprogram your pattern. I know this is hard, it really is. But that is the only way.
You cannot change your pattern recognition by decision, only by experience. It's a two way street. First as a white man I have to want to change, but those black people who want the patterns broken to end racism have to do their part. As long as the culture is so broken and distant, the pattern cannot be changed.
You cannot simply decide NOT to be racist. It's all pattern recognition.
Thursday, May 14, 2020
Blind Rage is STILL BLIND
I confess, sometimes I get upset. I rage against the darkness and deceit. I used to try to counter it with argument for people who choose to be gas-lighted and in darkness. It's futile. When people choose to be blind, no amount of insight given will change the mind of someone who chooses to live blindly.
These people who consent to being gaslighted don't know:
Two Republicans won house races in California and Wisconsin. The seat in California was a seat held by democrats for 20 years. Silence by the gaslighters.
The unmasking of General Flynn but Obama operatives was a crime. The gaslighters say it happens all the time.. but not by people in Government trying to destroy and incoming administration. It is a huge scandal. There really IS an OBAMAGATE.. and it's going to get really ugly.
Judge Sullivan in the Flynn Case is trying to accuse him of Perjury... and stop him from going free.
That the decision to put Manafort on House arrest rather than Jail was a local decision related to the virus and unrelated to anything Trump.
That Mexico is demanding an apology hints at reparations for Obama's fast and furious scandal.
That Schiff and many who testified under oath during the impeachment hearings have been caught lying outright. That in closed door hearings no one testified they knew ANYTHING about ANYTHING Russia related.
That Ambassador Marie Yovanovitch lied about Hunter Biden during impeachment hearings in November.
That there is now overwhelming contemporary evidence that Tara Reid was in fact fingered by Joe Biden.
These people who consent to being gaslighted don't know:
Two Republicans won house races in California and Wisconsin. The seat in California was a seat held by democrats for 20 years. Silence by the gaslighters.
The unmasking of General Flynn but Obama operatives was a crime. The gaslighters say it happens all the time.. but not by people in Government trying to destroy and incoming administration. It is a huge scandal. There really IS an OBAMAGATE.. and it's going to get really ugly.
Judge Sullivan in the Flynn Case is trying to accuse him of Perjury... and stop him from going free.
That the decision to put Manafort on House arrest rather than Jail was a local decision related to the virus and unrelated to anything Trump.
That Mexico is demanding an apology hints at reparations for Obama's fast and furious scandal.
That Schiff and many who testified under oath during the impeachment hearings have been caught lying outright. That in closed door hearings no one testified they knew ANYTHING about ANYTHING Russia related.
That Ambassador Marie Yovanovitch lied about Hunter Biden during impeachment hearings in November.
That there is now overwhelming contemporary evidence that Tara Reid was in fact fingered by Joe Biden.
But, it's not important, they just believe whatever they deem fits their confirmation bias. SAD
Wednesday, May 13, 2020
What has President Trump Day done for America?
Have
you ever heard of some people asking, What has President Trump Day done
for America? Well, here is a list and remember the part about human
trafficking? The Democrats were so upset that children were being
separated from the adults they were with. (parents?). Upon DNA testing
30% of these kids were not related but were kidnap victims from other
countries rented to others for entry to the US and for sex. Democrats
still support human trafficking.
“If someone asks you what President Trump has actually done for this country while in office, here is a nice list to show them:
Imagine if any of the Democrats would have helped!
* Trump recently signed 3 bills to benefit Native people. One gives compensation to the Spokane tribe for loss of their lands in the mid-1900s, one funds Native language programs, and the third gives federal recognition to the Little Shell Tribe of Chippewa Indians in Montana.
* This month Trump finalized the creation of Space Force as our 6th Military branch.
* This month Trump signed a law to make cruelty to animals a federal felony so that animal abusers face tougher consequences.
* Violent crime has fallen every year he’s been in office after rising during the 2 years before he was elected.
* Trump signed a bill making CBD and Hemp legal.
* Trump’s EPA gave $100 million to fix the water infrastructure problem in Flint, Michigan.
* Under Trump’s leadership, in 2018 the U.S. surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest producer of crude oil.
* Trump signed a law ending the gag orders on Pharmacists that prevented them from sharing money-saving information.
* Trump signed the “Allow States and Victims to Fight Online Sex Trafficking Act” (FOSTA), which includes the “Stop Enabling Sex Traffickers Act” (SESTA) which both give law enforcement and victims new tools to fight sex trafficking.
* Trump signed a bill to require airports to provide spaces for breastfeeding Moms.
* The 25% lowest-paid Americans enjoyed a 4.5% income boost in November 2019, which outpaces a 2.9% gain in earnings for the country's highest-paid workers.
* Low-wage workers are benefiting from higher minimum wages and from corporations that are increasing entry-level pay.
* Trump signed the biggest wilderness protection & conservation bill in a decade and designated 375,000 acres as protected land.
* Trump signed the Save our Seas Act which funds $10 million per year to clean tons of plastic & garbage from the ocean.
* He signed a bill this year allowing some drug imports from Canada so that prescription prices would go down.
* Trump signed an executive order this year that forces all healthcare providers to disclose the cost of their services so that Americans can comparison shop and know how much less providers charge insurance companies. When signing that bill he said no American should be blindsided by bills for medical services they never agreed to in advance.
* Hospitals will now be required to post their standard charges for services, which include the discounted price a hospital is willing to accept.
* In the eight years prior to President Trump’s inauguration, prescription drug prices increased by an average of 3.6% per year. Under Trump, drug prices have seen year-over-year declines in nine of the last ten months, with a 1.1% drop as of the most recent month.
* He created a White House VA Hotline to help veterans and principally staffed it with veterans and direct family members of veterans.
* VA employees are being held accountable for poor performance, with more than 4,000 VA employees removed, demoted, and suspended so far.
* Issued an executive order requiring the Secretaries of Defense, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs to submit a joint plan to provide veterans access to access to mental health treatment as they transition to civilian life.
* Because of a bill signed and championed by Trump, In 2020, most federal employees will see their pay increase by an average of 3.1% — the largest raise in more than 10 years.
* Trump signed into a law up to 12 weeks of paid parental leave for millions of federal workers.
* Trump administration will provide HIV prevention drugs for free to 200,000 uninsured patients per year for 11 years.
* All-time record sales during the 2019 holidays.
* Trump signed an order allowing small businesses to group together when buying insurance to get a better price.
* President Trump signed the Preventing Maternal Deaths Act that provides funding for states to develop maternal mortality reviews to better understand maternal complications and identify solutions & largely focuses on reducing the higher mortality rates for Black Americans.
* In 2018, President Trump signed the groundbreaking First Step Act, a criminal justice bill which enacted reforms that make our justice system fairer and help former inmates successfully return to society. The First Step Act’s reforms addressed inequities in sentencing laws that disproportionately harmed Black Americans and reformed mandatory minimums that created unfair outcomes.
* The First Step Act expanded judicial discretion in sentencing of non-violent crimes.
* Over 90% of those benefitting from the retroactive sentencing reductions in the First Step Act are Black Americans.
* The First Step Act provides rehabilitative programs to inmates, helping them successfully rejoin society and not return to crime.
* Trump increased funding for Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) by more than 14%.
* Trump signed legislation forgiving Hurricane Katrina debt that threatened HBCUs.
* New single-family home sales are up 31.6% in October 2019 compared to just one year ago.
* Made HBCUs a priority by creating the position of executive director of the White House Initiative on HBCUs.
* Trump received the Bipartisan Justice Award at a historically black college for his criminal justice reform accomplishments.
* The poverty rate fell to a 17-year low of 11.8% under the Trump administration as a result of a jobs-rich environment.
* Poverty rates for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans have reached their lowest levels since the U.S. began collecting such data.
* President Trump signed a bill that creates five national monuments, expands several national parks, adds 1.3 million acres of wilderness, and permanently reauthorizes the Land and Water Conservation Fund.
* Trump’s USDA committed $124 Million to rebuild rural water infrastructure.
* Consumer confidence & small business confidence is at an all time high.
* More than 7 million jobs created since election.
* More Americans are now employed than ever recorded before in our history.
* More than 400,000 manufacturing jobs created since his election.
* Trump appointed 5 openly gay ambassadors.
* Trump ordered Ric Grenell, his openly gay ambassador to Germany, to lead a global initiative to decriminalize homosexuality across the globe.
* Through Trump’s Anti-Trafficking Coordination Team (ACTeam) initiative, Federal law enforcement more than doubled convictions of human traffickers and increased the number of defendants charged by 75% in ACTeam districts.
* In 2018, the Department of Justice (DOJ) dismantled an organization that was the internet’s leading source of prostitution-related advertisements resulting in sex trafficking.
* Trump’s OMB published new anti-trafficking guidance for government procurement officials to more effectively combat human trafficking.
* Trump’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s Homeland Security Investigations arrested 1,588 criminals associated with Human Trafficking.
* Trump’s Department of Health and Human Services provided funding to support the National Human Trafficking Hotline to identify perpetrators and give victims the help they need.
* The hotline identified 16,862 potential human trafficking cases.
* Trump’s DOJ provided grants to organizations that support human trafficking victims – serving nearly 9,000 cases from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2018.
* The Department of Homeland Security has hired more victim assistance specialists, helping victims get resources and support.
* President Trump has called on Congress to pass school choice legislation so that no child is trapped in a failing school because of his or her zip code.
* The President signed funding legislation in September 2018 that increased funding for school choice by $42 million.
* The tax cuts signed into law by President Trump promote school choice by allowing families to use 529 college savings plans for elementary and secondary education.
* Under his leadership ISIS has lost most of their territory and been largely dismantled.
* ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi was killed.
* Signed the first Perkins CTE reauthorization since 2006, authorizing more than $1 billion for states each year to fund vocational and career education programs.
* Executive order expanding apprenticeship opportunities for students and workers.
* Trump issued an Executive Order prohibiting the U.S. government from discriminating against Christians or punishing expressions of faith.
* Signed an executive order that allows the government to withhold money from college campuses deemed to be anti-Semitic and who fail to combat anti-Semitism.
* President Trump ordered a halt to U.S. tax money going to international organizations that fund or perform abortions.
* Trump imposed sanctions on the socialists in Venezuela who have killed their citizens.
* Finalized new trade agreement with South Korea.
* Made a deal with the European Union to increase U.S. energy exports to Europe.
* Withdrew the U.S. from the job killing TPP deal.
* Secured $250 billion in new trade and investment deals in China and $12 billion in Vietnam.
* Okay’d up to $12 billion in aid for farmers affected by unfair trade retaliation.
* Has had over a dozen US hostages freed, including those Obama could not get freed.
* Trump signed the Music Modernization Act, the biggest change to copyright law in decades.
* Trump secured Billions that will fund the building of a wall at our southern border.
* The Trump Administration is promoting second chance hiring to give former inmates the opportunity to live crime-free lives and find meaningful employment.
* Trump’s DOJ and the Board Of Prisons launched a new “Ready to Work Initiative” to help connect employers directly with former prisoners.
* President Trump’s historic tax cut legislation included new Opportunity Zone Incentives to promote investment in low-income communities across the country.
* 8,764 communities across the country have been designated as Opportunity Zones.
* Opportunity Zones are expected to spur $100 billion in long-term private capital investment in economically distressed communities across the country.
* Trump directed the Education Secretary to end Common Core.
* Trump signed the 9/11 Victims Compensation Fund into law.
* Trump signed measure funding prevention programs for Veteran suicide.
* Companies have brought back over a TRILLION dollars from overseas because of the TCJA bill that Trump signed.
* Manufacturing jobs are growing at the fastest rate in more than 30 years.
* Stock Market has reached record highs.
* Median household income has hit highest level ever recorded.
* African-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Hispanic-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Asian-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Women’s unemployment rate is at a 65-year low.
* Youth unemployment is at a 50-year low.
* We have the lowest unemployment rate ever recorded.
* The Pledge to America’s Workers has resulted in employers committing to train more than 4 million Americans.
* 95 percent of U.S. manufacturers are optimistic about the future— the highest ever.
* As a result of the Republican tax bill, small businesses will have the lowest top marginal tax rate in more than 80 years.
* Record number of regulations eliminated that hurt small businesses.
* Signed welfare reform requiring able-bodied adults who don’t have children to work or look for work if they’re on welfare.
* Under Trump, the FDA approved more affordable generic drugs than ever before in history.
* Reformed Medicare program to stop hospitals from overcharging low-income seniors on their drugs—saving seniors 100’s of millions of $ this year alone.
* Signed Right-To-Try legislation allowing terminally ill patients to try experimental treatment that wasn’t allowed before.
* Secured $6 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic.
* Signed VA Choice Act and VA Accountability Act, expanded VA telehealth services, walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.
* U.S. oil production recently reached all-time high so we are less dependent on oil from the Middle East.
* The U.S. is a net natural gas exporter for the first time since 1957.
* NATO allies increased their defense spending because of his pressure campaign.
* Withdrew the United States from the job-killing Paris Climate Accord in 2017 and that same year the U.S. still led the world by having the largest reduction in Carbon emissions.
* Has his circuit court judge nominees being confirmed faster than any other new administration.
* Had his Supreme Court Justice’s Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh confirmed.
* Moved U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
* Agreed to a new trade deal with Mexico & Canada that will increase jobs here and $ coming in.
* Reached a breakthrough agreement with the E.U. to increase U.S. exports.
* Imposed tariffs on China in response to China’s forced technology transfer, intellectual property theft, and their chronically abusive trade practices, has agreed to a Part One trade deal with China.
* Signed legislation to improve the National Suicide Hotline.
* Signed the most comprehensive childhood cancer legislation ever into law, which will advance childhood cancer research and improve treatments.
* The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act signed into law by Trump doubled the maximum amount of the child tax credit available to parents and lifted the income limits so more people could claim it.
* It also created a new tax credit for other dependents.
* In 2018, President Trump signed into law a $2.4 billion funding increase for the Child Care and Development Fund, providing a total of $8.1 billion to States to fund child care for low-income families.
* The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC) signed into law by Trump provides a tax credit equal to 20-35% of child care expenses, $3,000 per child & $6,000 per family + Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs) allow you to set aside up to $5,000 in pre-tax $ to use for child care.
* In 2019 President Donald Trump signed the Autism Collaboration, Accountability, Research, Education and Support Act (CARES) into law which allocates $1.8 billion in funding over the next five years to help people with autism spectrum disorder and to help their families.
* In 2019 President Trump signed into law two funding packages providing nearly $19 million in new funding for Lupus specific research and education programs, as well an additional $41.7 billion in funding for the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the most Lupus funding EVER.
* Another upcoming accomplishment to add: In the next week or two Trump will be signing the first major anti-robocall law in decades called the TRACED Act (Telephone Robocall Abuse Criminal Enforcement and Deterrence.) Once it’s thelaw, the TRACED Act will extend the period of time the FCC has to catch & punish those who intentionally break telemarketing restrictions. The bill also requires voice service providers to develop a framework to verify calls are legitimate before they reach your phone.
* US stock market continually hits all-time record highs.
* Because so many people asked for a document with all of this listed in one place, here it is. No links provided to remove bias as Google search is easy. Print this out for family, friends, neighbors, etc. I encourage you to drop this list off to voters before the 2020 election too!”
“If someone asks you what President Trump has actually done for this country while in office, here is a nice list to show them:
Imagine if any of the Democrats would have helped!
* Trump recently signed 3 bills to benefit Native people. One gives compensation to the Spokane tribe for loss of their lands in the mid-1900s, one funds Native language programs, and the third gives federal recognition to the Little Shell Tribe of Chippewa Indians in Montana.
* This month Trump finalized the creation of Space Force as our 6th Military branch.
* This month Trump signed a law to make cruelty to animals a federal felony so that animal abusers face tougher consequences.
* Violent crime has fallen every year he’s been in office after rising during the 2 years before he was elected.
* Trump signed a bill making CBD and Hemp legal.
* Trump’s EPA gave $100 million to fix the water infrastructure problem in Flint, Michigan.
* Under Trump’s leadership, in 2018 the U.S. surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest producer of crude oil.
* Trump signed a law ending the gag orders on Pharmacists that prevented them from sharing money-saving information.
* Trump signed the “Allow States and Victims to Fight Online Sex Trafficking Act” (FOSTA), which includes the “Stop Enabling Sex Traffickers Act” (SESTA) which both give law enforcement and victims new tools to fight sex trafficking.
* Trump signed a bill to require airports to provide spaces for breastfeeding Moms.
* The 25% lowest-paid Americans enjoyed a 4.5% income boost in November 2019, which outpaces a 2.9% gain in earnings for the country's highest-paid workers.
* Low-wage workers are benefiting from higher minimum wages and from corporations that are increasing entry-level pay.
* Trump signed the biggest wilderness protection & conservation bill in a decade and designated 375,000 acres as protected land.
* Trump signed the Save our Seas Act which funds $10 million per year to clean tons of plastic & garbage from the ocean.
* He signed a bill this year allowing some drug imports from Canada so that prescription prices would go down.
* Trump signed an executive order this year that forces all healthcare providers to disclose the cost of their services so that Americans can comparison shop and know how much less providers charge insurance companies. When signing that bill he said no American should be blindsided by bills for medical services they never agreed to in advance.
* Hospitals will now be required to post their standard charges for services, which include the discounted price a hospital is willing to accept.
* In the eight years prior to President Trump’s inauguration, prescription drug prices increased by an average of 3.6% per year. Under Trump, drug prices have seen year-over-year declines in nine of the last ten months, with a 1.1% drop as of the most recent month.
* He created a White House VA Hotline to help veterans and principally staffed it with veterans and direct family members of veterans.
* VA employees are being held accountable for poor performance, with more than 4,000 VA employees removed, demoted, and suspended so far.
* Issued an executive order requiring the Secretaries of Defense, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs to submit a joint plan to provide veterans access to access to mental health treatment as they transition to civilian life.
* Because of a bill signed and championed by Trump, In 2020, most federal employees will see their pay increase by an average of 3.1% — the largest raise in more than 10 years.
* Trump signed into a law up to 12 weeks of paid parental leave for millions of federal workers.
* Trump administration will provide HIV prevention drugs for free to 200,000 uninsured patients per year for 11 years.
* All-time record sales during the 2019 holidays.
* Trump signed an order allowing small businesses to group together when buying insurance to get a better price.
* President Trump signed the Preventing Maternal Deaths Act that provides funding for states to develop maternal mortality reviews to better understand maternal complications and identify solutions & largely focuses on reducing the higher mortality rates for Black Americans.
* In 2018, President Trump signed the groundbreaking First Step Act, a criminal justice bill which enacted reforms that make our justice system fairer and help former inmates successfully return to society. The First Step Act’s reforms addressed inequities in sentencing laws that disproportionately harmed Black Americans and reformed mandatory minimums that created unfair outcomes.
* The First Step Act expanded judicial discretion in sentencing of non-violent crimes.
* Over 90% of those benefitting from the retroactive sentencing reductions in the First Step Act are Black Americans.
* The First Step Act provides rehabilitative programs to inmates, helping them successfully rejoin society and not return to crime.
* Trump increased funding for Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) by more than 14%.
* Trump signed legislation forgiving Hurricane Katrina debt that threatened HBCUs.
* New single-family home sales are up 31.6% in October 2019 compared to just one year ago.
* Made HBCUs a priority by creating the position of executive director of the White House Initiative on HBCUs.
* Trump received the Bipartisan Justice Award at a historically black college for his criminal justice reform accomplishments.
* The poverty rate fell to a 17-year low of 11.8% under the Trump administration as a result of a jobs-rich environment.
* Poverty rates for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans have reached their lowest levels since the U.S. began collecting such data.
* President Trump signed a bill that creates five national monuments, expands several national parks, adds 1.3 million acres of wilderness, and permanently reauthorizes the Land and Water Conservation Fund.
* Trump’s USDA committed $124 Million to rebuild rural water infrastructure.
* Consumer confidence & small business confidence is at an all time high.
* More than 7 million jobs created since election.
* More Americans are now employed than ever recorded before in our history.
* More than 400,000 manufacturing jobs created since his election.
* Trump appointed 5 openly gay ambassadors.
* Trump ordered Ric Grenell, his openly gay ambassador to Germany, to lead a global initiative to decriminalize homosexuality across the globe.
* Through Trump’s Anti-Trafficking Coordination Team (ACTeam) initiative, Federal law enforcement more than doubled convictions of human traffickers and increased the number of defendants charged by 75% in ACTeam districts.
* In 2018, the Department of Justice (DOJ) dismantled an organization that was the internet’s leading source of prostitution-related advertisements resulting in sex trafficking.
* Trump’s OMB published new anti-trafficking guidance for government procurement officials to more effectively combat human trafficking.
* Trump’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s Homeland Security Investigations arrested 1,588 criminals associated with Human Trafficking.
* Trump’s Department of Health and Human Services provided funding to support the National Human Trafficking Hotline to identify perpetrators and give victims the help they need.
* The hotline identified 16,862 potential human trafficking cases.
* Trump’s DOJ provided grants to organizations that support human trafficking victims – serving nearly 9,000 cases from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2018.
* The Department of Homeland Security has hired more victim assistance specialists, helping victims get resources and support.
* President Trump has called on Congress to pass school choice legislation so that no child is trapped in a failing school because of his or her zip code.
* The President signed funding legislation in September 2018 that increased funding for school choice by $42 million.
* The tax cuts signed into law by President Trump promote school choice by allowing families to use 529 college savings plans for elementary and secondary education.
* Under his leadership ISIS has lost most of their territory and been largely dismantled.
* ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi was killed.
* Signed the first Perkins CTE reauthorization since 2006, authorizing more than $1 billion for states each year to fund vocational and career education programs.
* Executive order expanding apprenticeship opportunities for students and workers.
* Trump issued an Executive Order prohibiting the U.S. government from discriminating against Christians or punishing expressions of faith.
* Signed an executive order that allows the government to withhold money from college campuses deemed to be anti-Semitic and who fail to combat anti-Semitism.
* President Trump ordered a halt to U.S. tax money going to international organizations that fund or perform abortions.
* Trump imposed sanctions on the socialists in Venezuela who have killed their citizens.
* Finalized new trade agreement with South Korea.
* Made a deal with the European Union to increase U.S. energy exports to Europe.
* Withdrew the U.S. from the job killing TPP deal.
* Secured $250 billion in new trade and investment deals in China and $12 billion in Vietnam.
* Okay’d up to $12 billion in aid for farmers affected by unfair trade retaliation.
* Has had over a dozen US hostages freed, including those Obama could not get freed.
* Trump signed the Music Modernization Act, the biggest change to copyright law in decades.
* Trump secured Billions that will fund the building of a wall at our southern border.
* The Trump Administration is promoting second chance hiring to give former inmates the opportunity to live crime-free lives and find meaningful employment.
* Trump’s DOJ and the Board Of Prisons launched a new “Ready to Work Initiative” to help connect employers directly with former prisoners.
* President Trump’s historic tax cut legislation included new Opportunity Zone Incentives to promote investment in low-income communities across the country.
* 8,764 communities across the country have been designated as Opportunity Zones.
* Opportunity Zones are expected to spur $100 billion in long-term private capital investment in economically distressed communities across the country.
* Trump directed the Education Secretary to end Common Core.
* Trump signed the 9/11 Victims Compensation Fund into law.
* Trump signed measure funding prevention programs for Veteran suicide.
* Companies have brought back over a TRILLION dollars from overseas because of the TCJA bill that Trump signed.
* Manufacturing jobs are growing at the fastest rate in more than 30 years.
* Stock Market has reached record highs.
* Median household income has hit highest level ever recorded.
* African-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Hispanic-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Asian-American unemployment is at an all time low.
* Women’s unemployment rate is at a 65-year low.
* Youth unemployment is at a 50-year low.
* We have the lowest unemployment rate ever recorded.
* The Pledge to America’s Workers has resulted in employers committing to train more than 4 million Americans.
* 95 percent of U.S. manufacturers are optimistic about the future— the highest ever.
* As a result of the Republican tax bill, small businesses will have the lowest top marginal tax rate in more than 80 years.
* Record number of regulations eliminated that hurt small businesses.
* Signed welfare reform requiring able-bodied adults who don’t have children to work or look for work if they’re on welfare.
* Under Trump, the FDA approved more affordable generic drugs than ever before in history.
* Reformed Medicare program to stop hospitals from overcharging low-income seniors on their drugs—saving seniors 100’s of millions of $ this year alone.
* Signed Right-To-Try legislation allowing terminally ill patients to try experimental treatment that wasn’t allowed before.
* Secured $6 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic.
* Signed VA Choice Act and VA Accountability Act, expanded VA telehealth services, walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.
* U.S. oil production recently reached all-time high so we are less dependent on oil from the Middle East.
* The U.S. is a net natural gas exporter for the first time since 1957.
* NATO allies increased their defense spending because of his pressure campaign.
* Withdrew the United States from the job-killing Paris Climate Accord in 2017 and that same year the U.S. still led the world by having the largest reduction in Carbon emissions.
* Has his circuit court judge nominees being confirmed faster than any other new administration.
* Had his Supreme Court Justice’s Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh confirmed.
* Moved U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
* Agreed to a new trade deal with Mexico & Canada that will increase jobs here and $ coming in.
* Reached a breakthrough agreement with the E.U. to increase U.S. exports.
* Imposed tariffs on China in response to China’s forced technology transfer, intellectual property theft, and their chronically abusive trade practices, has agreed to a Part One trade deal with China.
* Signed legislation to improve the National Suicide Hotline.
* Signed the most comprehensive childhood cancer legislation ever into law, which will advance childhood cancer research and improve treatments.
* The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act signed into law by Trump doubled the maximum amount of the child tax credit available to parents and lifted the income limits so more people could claim it.
* It also created a new tax credit for other dependents.
* In 2018, President Trump signed into law a $2.4 billion funding increase for the Child Care and Development Fund, providing a total of $8.1 billion to States to fund child care for low-income families.
* The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC) signed into law by Trump provides a tax credit equal to 20-35% of child care expenses, $3,000 per child & $6,000 per family + Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs) allow you to set aside up to $5,000 in pre-tax $ to use for child care.
* In 2019 President Donald Trump signed the Autism Collaboration, Accountability, Research, Education and Support Act (CARES) into law which allocates $1.8 billion in funding over the next five years to help people with autism spectrum disorder and to help their families.
* In 2019 President Trump signed into law two funding packages providing nearly $19 million in new funding for Lupus specific research and education programs, as well an additional $41.7 billion in funding for the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the most Lupus funding EVER.
* Another upcoming accomplishment to add: In the next week or two Trump will be signing the first major anti-robocall law in decades called the TRACED Act (Telephone Robocall Abuse Criminal Enforcement and Deterrence.) Once it’s thelaw, the TRACED Act will extend the period of time the FCC has to catch & punish those who intentionally break telemarketing restrictions. The bill also requires voice service providers to develop a framework to verify calls are legitimate before they reach your phone.
* US stock market continually hits all-time record highs.
* Because so many people asked for a document with all of this listed in one place, here it is. No links provided to remove bias as Google search is easy. Print this out for family, friends, neighbors, etc. I encourage you to drop this list off to voters before the 2020 election too!”
Monday, May 04, 2020
What will the TOTAL death toll be from CV-19. Excess deaths is all that matters.
I have been tracking the total coronavirus deaths in the USA. To post them all would not makes sense. The exponent of increase at the beginning was over 2. That means at the beginning the number doubled.. often. As the total number of deaths increased the exponent of increase tapered off. Part of it was the larger population of deceased people. However if the virulence and death rate were consistent it should have shown little decrease.
Now we have hit a plateau. One of about 2-4% increase per day. Not 100% every day. This is caused by a leveling of deaths.
To be sure, The number of deaths from all causes has increased but not nearly as much as the official numbers show. This causes me to have doubts about the actual cause of deaths from CV-19 compared to all deaths. This graph can help.
If there isn't a radical slowing of increases in deaths we very well could reach 100,000 or more by June 1. I don't believe that will be just CV-19. The lack of transparency of assigning people to actually die of the virus versus the virus was the last thing they had in their life of persistent age or illness.
To be sure, for those of an age above 80, the virus might well take off ten years they might have otherwise lived.
I offer this analysis based on actual numbers from the MEDIA (which makes it immediately suspect). However since it is the numbers we are given, we will extrapolate where this could head. Full disclosure, I am convinced the REAL death count is about 50% of the one reported by authorities. The CDC Page of this is available Here.
I know it all seems pretty daunting, but for those of us that work with numbers, the numbers tell the story. This much is true, the media and the governors and health officials in the USA have a reason to lie. It confirms their existence. When someone has something to gain, doubt them severely. I do.
Forget about new cases. Thousands are confirmed every day and they aren't dying in droves. Forget about contact tracing. That is a political ploy meant to justify government's overreach. The only indicator is excess deaths, and that is a small number.
You will note that the exponent is predictably declining. I am not so sure it isn't going to flatten quickly. This much I know, we have had spikes in deaths from viruses before and didn't destroy our country. We must never ever allow this to happen again. Evil forces are taking advantage.
April Death Total Exponent of Increase Additional by day
23 47,992 1.05 ACTUAL 2,400
24 50,392 1.04 ACTUAL 2,016
25 52,407 1.03 ACTUAL 1,702
26 54,109 1.03 ACTUAL 1,439
27 55,548 1.03 ACTUAL 1,101
28 56,649 1.02 ACTUAL 2,487
29 59,136 1.04 ACTUAL 2,530
30 61,666 1.04 ACTUAL 2,467
1 64,133 1.02 ACTUAL 1,472
2 65,605 1.02 ACTUAL 1,312
3 66,917 1.02 ACTUAL 1,338
4 68,255 1.03 ACTUAL 2,048
5 70,303 1.02 PROJECTED 1,406
6 71,709 1.02 PROJECTED 1,434
7 73,143 1.02 PROJECTED 1,463
8 74,606 1.02 PROJECTED 1,492
9 76,098 1.02 PROJECTED 1,522
10 77,620 1.02 PROJECTED 1,552
11 79,173 1.02 PROJECTED 1,583
12 80,756 1.02 PROJECTED 1,615
13 82,371 1.02 PROJECTED 1,647
14 84,019 1.02 PROJECTED 1,680
15 85,699 1.015 PROJECTED 1,285
16 86,985 1.015 PROJECTED 1,305
17 88,289 1.015 PROJECTED 1,324
18 89,614 1.015 PROJECTED 1,344
19 90,958 1.015 PROJECTED 1,364
20 92,322 1.015 PROJECTED 1,385
21 93,707 1.015 PROJECTED 1,406
22 95,113 1.015 PROJECTED 1,427
23 96,539 1.015 PROJECTED 1,448
24 97,987 1.015 PROJECTED 1,470
25 99,457 1.015 PROJECTED 1,492
26 100,949 1.01 PROJECTED 1,009
27 101,959 1.01 PROJECTED 1,020
28 102,978 1.01 PROJECTED 1,030
29 104,008 1.01 PROJECTED 1,040
30 105,048 1.01 PROJECTED 1,050
31 106,099 1.01 PROJECTED 1,061
1 107,160 1.01 PROJECTED 1,060
Now we have hit a plateau. One of about 2-4% increase per day. Not 100% every day. This is caused by a leveling of deaths.
To be sure, The number of deaths from all causes has increased but not nearly as much as the official numbers show. This causes me to have doubts about the actual cause of deaths from CV-19 compared to all deaths. This graph can help.
If there isn't a radical slowing of increases in deaths we very well could reach 100,000 or more by June 1. I don't believe that will be just CV-19. The lack of transparency of assigning people to actually die of the virus versus the virus was the last thing they had in their life of persistent age or illness.
To be sure, for those of an age above 80, the virus might well take off ten years they might have otherwise lived.
I offer this analysis based on actual numbers from the MEDIA (which makes it immediately suspect). However since it is the numbers we are given, we will extrapolate where this could head. Full disclosure, I am convinced the REAL death count is about 50% of the one reported by authorities. The CDC Page of this is available Here.
I know it all seems pretty daunting, but for those of us that work with numbers, the numbers tell the story. This much is true, the media and the governors and health officials in the USA have a reason to lie. It confirms their existence. When someone has something to gain, doubt them severely. I do.
Forget about new cases. Thousands are confirmed every day and they aren't dying in droves. Forget about contact tracing. That is a political ploy meant to justify government's overreach. The only indicator is excess deaths, and that is a small number.
You will note that the exponent is predictably declining. I am not so sure it isn't going to flatten quickly. This much I know, we have had spikes in deaths from viruses before and didn't destroy our country. We must never ever allow this to happen again. Evil forces are taking advantage.
April Death Total Exponent of Increase Additional by day
23 47,992 1.05 ACTUAL 2,400
24 50,392 1.04 ACTUAL 2,016
25 52,407 1.03 ACTUAL 1,702
26 54,109 1.03 ACTUAL 1,439
27 55,548 1.03 ACTUAL 1,101
28 56,649 1.02 ACTUAL 2,487
29 59,136 1.04 ACTUAL 2,530
30 61,666 1.04 ACTUAL 2,467
1 64,133 1.02 ACTUAL 1,472
2 65,605 1.02 ACTUAL 1,312
3 66,917 1.02 ACTUAL 1,338
4 68,255 1.03 ACTUAL 2,048
5 70,303 1.02 PROJECTED 1,406
6 71,709 1.02 PROJECTED 1,434
7 73,143 1.02 PROJECTED 1,463
8 74,606 1.02 PROJECTED 1,492
9 76,098 1.02 PROJECTED 1,522
10 77,620 1.02 PROJECTED 1,552
11 79,173 1.02 PROJECTED 1,583
12 80,756 1.02 PROJECTED 1,615
13 82,371 1.02 PROJECTED 1,647
14 84,019 1.02 PROJECTED 1,680
15 85,699 1.015 PROJECTED 1,285
16 86,985 1.015 PROJECTED 1,305
17 88,289 1.015 PROJECTED 1,324
18 89,614 1.015 PROJECTED 1,344
19 90,958 1.015 PROJECTED 1,364
20 92,322 1.015 PROJECTED 1,385
21 93,707 1.015 PROJECTED 1,406
22 95,113 1.015 PROJECTED 1,427
23 96,539 1.015 PROJECTED 1,448
24 97,987 1.015 PROJECTED 1,470
25 99,457 1.015 PROJECTED 1,492
26 100,949 1.01 PROJECTED 1,009
27 101,959 1.01 PROJECTED 1,020
28 102,978 1.01 PROJECTED 1,030
29 104,008 1.01 PROJECTED 1,040
30 105,048 1.01 PROJECTED 1,050
31 106,099 1.01 PROJECTED 1,061
1 107,160 1.01 PROJECTED 1,060
Thursday, April 23, 2020
Sheltering in Place is Living Death
I’ve read a lot of posts for and against reopening the country. Many
attacking those who protest or want to open businesses back up as
selfish and reckless. It got me to thinking.
There are those wanting to reopen, yet they’re being classified as selfish or worse. There are also those that rely on all kinds of people to supply them while they cower in fear at home. Isn’t that also being selfish?
You expect your garbage to be picked up.
You expect the grocery store to be open so you can get food to feed your family.
You expect truck drivers to supply the stores.
You expect farmers, meat packers, fruit and vegetable pickers all to keep food in that grocery store.
You expect Amazon to still ship all the things you’re ordering while you sit at home shopping.
You expect the delivery driver to leave it on your doorstep.
You expect your phone to work, your power to stay on, and your mail to show up rain, sleet, or shine.
And most important, you expect the doctors and nurses to be there if you need them although many of them across the country have been furloughed because their units and services have been shut down while the entire system focuses only on COVID19.
The whole premise of shelter in place is based on the arrogant idea that others must risk their health so you can protect yours. There is nothing virtuous about ignoring the largely invisible army required to allow people to shelter in place.
I know there are some of you that are screaming mad about what I just said but stop and really think about what is allowing you to stay "safe" in your home.
I truly believe that with some common sense on my part, I could easily go back to life as it was. I want to go to restaurants, I want to get on stage and play, and yes, I want to see my hair stylist and massage therapist.
And yes, I could catch COVID-19. I could also catch the flu or a cold. I could get run over by a bus. I could get struck by lightning. We take risks everyday. If you choose to stay home, that is absolutely your choice. And please don’t start screaming at me about how I’ll just spread it. Why are you worried? You won’t get it because you’re staying in your home. Are you going to shelter in place every time a new strand of the flu happens?
Our economy can’t withstand much more of this. If our economy collapses, so will every other economy worldwide.
If that happens, you will see the rise of tyrants.
I absolutely don’t want people to die...from COVID or anything else. I want people to live.
But sheltering in place is not living
There are those wanting to reopen, yet they’re being classified as selfish or worse. There are also those that rely on all kinds of people to supply them while they cower in fear at home. Isn’t that also being selfish?
You expect your garbage to be picked up.
You expect the grocery store to be open so you can get food to feed your family.
You expect truck drivers to supply the stores.
You expect farmers, meat packers, fruit and vegetable pickers all to keep food in that grocery store.
You expect Amazon to still ship all the things you’re ordering while you sit at home shopping.
You expect the delivery driver to leave it on your doorstep.
You expect your phone to work, your power to stay on, and your mail to show up rain, sleet, or shine.
And most important, you expect the doctors and nurses to be there if you need them although many of them across the country have been furloughed because their units and services have been shut down while the entire system focuses only on COVID19.
The whole premise of shelter in place is based on the arrogant idea that others must risk their health so you can protect yours. There is nothing virtuous about ignoring the largely invisible army required to allow people to shelter in place.
I know there are some of you that are screaming mad about what I just said but stop and really think about what is allowing you to stay "safe" in your home.
I truly believe that with some common sense on my part, I could easily go back to life as it was. I want to go to restaurants, I want to get on stage and play, and yes, I want to see my hair stylist and massage therapist.
And yes, I could catch COVID-19. I could also catch the flu or a cold. I could get run over by a bus. I could get struck by lightning. We take risks everyday. If you choose to stay home, that is absolutely your choice. And please don’t start screaming at me about how I’ll just spread it. Why are you worried? You won’t get it because you’re staying in your home. Are you going to shelter in place every time a new strand of the flu happens?
Our economy can’t withstand much more of this. If our economy collapses, so will every other economy worldwide.
If that happens, you will see the rise of tyrants.
I absolutely don’t want people to die...from COVID or anything else. I want people to live.
But sheltering in place is not living
The Choice .... and there are no others
What we are fooling ourselves with is the idea that we can save lots of people from dying of a virus and have a civilization that survives and prospers.
The governor of Illinois who has no common sense whatsoever is overshooting.
Here's the truth... pretty much no matter what in the end a couple hundred thousand people are going to die or we end up in a cultural changed of great depression worse than ever seen and thousands of people are going to die... more than the couple hundred thousand people that will die anyway.
I don't want people to die. I really don't. I don't want my brother or sister to die. I don't want my wife to die. I also don't want to leave a world for my kids and grandkids that kills them.
The choice is clear. We must try hard to move to a world we can move towards. It will not be the same. There will be risks. Many will die.
Yet... that's what wars do. Kill. Most of the time it is young men. This time it is the sick and old.
If you think the trade-off is not needed, you aren't thinking clearly.
The governor of Illinois who has no common sense whatsoever is overshooting.
Here's the truth... pretty much no matter what in the end a couple hundred thousand people are going to die or we end up in a cultural changed of great depression worse than ever seen and thousands of people are going to die... more than the couple hundred thousand people that will die anyway.
I don't want people to die. I really don't. I don't want my brother or sister to die. I don't want my wife to die. I also don't want to leave a world for my kids and grandkids that kills them.
The choice is clear. We must try hard to move to a world we can move towards. It will not be the same. There will be risks. Many will die.
Yet... that's what wars do. Kill. Most of the time it is young men. This time it is the sick and old.
If you think the trade-off is not needed, you aren't thinking clearly.
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
I don't know if this is from HIM but it contains truth
From Trey Gowdy:
"I'm not saying Covid-19 isn't real... But Pay attention folks, there's much more going on here than what meets the eye. Is it a coincidence that just when the economy is booming, the stock market is setting record highs, we are winning the trade wars, school shootings have stopped, our nation is at peace, the Democratic party is a disaster and so is their likely nominee? (Biden). He hasn't a chance in hell & they're not about to let an outsider(Bernie) destroy their scheme.
It looks like Trump is a sure bet for reelection after fending off 3 years of investigations and impeachment, then all of a sudden world crisis pandemic. Stock market tumbles, companies are laying off employees, everything is closed and canceled, CEO's of giant companies are resigning and indictments are coming. Now they say there are a couple ways a President doesn't win reelection. Those are an unpopular war or a poor economy. But there is something larger going on here driving this sudden outbreak right after Trump beats an impeachment. Especially the fact that it (Corona Virus) originated in China who we are in a global trade war with; brought on by Trump. Let's not forget Biden's back door deals with CHINA as well. China doesn't want 4 more years of Trump either. It all seems rather convenient for the nations and opponents of our current President and economy 5 months before an election. Couldn't have hit at a more perfect time.
With the Democrats running out of campaign talking points, in light of no school shootings, no migrant caravans at the southern border, fighting in Syria winding down, North Korea not firing missiles and Trump beating a sham impeachment. The Corona Virus gave them one last hail Mary to try and point fingers at Trump with the clock winding down in 2020. This is almost the perfect fascist playbook. Control the population with fear-mongering and panic, control the media, spread propaganda and the fan-favorite disarm the population.
Oh, and did anyone notice that while they are mad as hell at Trump for not sending aid to Ukraine, they THEMSELVES voted AGAINST giving ANY emergency aid to all Americans ? Sorry but I don't think we are all going to die. Remember when Ebola was what was going to kill us all, and the media kept showing the piles of body bags that were prepared for the fallout. Then a month later it was totally forgotten. The common flu has killed more people this year already and the media is SILENT! A handful of deaths out of 320 million Americans and we are in panic tearing down our society and costing our economy billions in the wake.
It all just seems fishy, a little too well-timed if you ask me." - Trey Gowdy
"I'm not saying Covid-19 isn't real... But Pay attention folks, there's much more going on here than what meets the eye. Is it a coincidence that just when the economy is booming, the stock market is setting record highs, we are winning the trade wars, school shootings have stopped, our nation is at peace, the Democratic party is a disaster and so is their likely nominee? (Biden). He hasn't a chance in hell & they're not about to let an outsider(Bernie) destroy their scheme.
It looks like Trump is a sure bet for reelection after fending off 3 years of investigations and impeachment, then all of a sudden world crisis pandemic. Stock market tumbles, companies are laying off employees, everything is closed and canceled, CEO's of giant companies are resigning and indictments are coming. Now they say there are a couple ways a President doesn't win reelection. Those are an unpopular war or a poor economy. But there is something larger going on here driving this sudden outbreak right after Trump beats an impeachment. Especially the fact that it (Corona Virus) originated in China who we are in a global trade war with; brought on by Trump. Let's not forget Biden's back door deals with CHINA as well. China doesn't want 4 more years of Trump either. It all seems rather convenient for the nations and opponents of our current President and economy 5 months before an election. Couldn't have hit at a more perfect time.
With the Democrats running out of campaign talking points, in light of no school shootings, no migrant caravans at the southern border, fighting in Syria winding down, North Korea not firing missiles and Trump beating a sham impeachment. The Corona Virus gave them one last hail Mary to try and point fingers at Trump with the clock winding down in 2020. This is almost the perfect fascist playbook. Control the population with fear-mongering and panic, control the media, spread propaganda and the fan-favorite disarm the population.
Oh, and did anyone notice that while they are mad as hell at Trump for not sending aid to Ukraine, they THEMSELVES voted AGAINST giving ANY emergency aid to all Americans ? Sorry but I don't think we are all going to die. Remember when Ebola was what was going to kill us all, and the media kept showing the piles of body bags that were prepared for the fallout. Then a month later it was totally forgotten. The common flu has killed more people this year already and the media is SILENT! A handful of deaths out of 320 million Americans and we are in panic tearing down our society and costing our economy billions in the wake.
It all just seems fishy, a little too well-timed if you ask me." - Trey Gowdy
Tuesday, April 21, 2020
Who is a Karen
I know several people who fit this MEME. They are the reason for many of societies Ills
Where a similar insult like “OK Boomer” stereotypes a specific generation, calling someone a “Karen” draws on associations people have built around extremely common names. But the stereotype the name conjures — at least in the US — is limited mainly to white women in their mid-30s or 40s. The archetypal “Karen” is blonde, has multiple young kids, and is usually an anti-vaxxer. Karen has a “can I speak to the manager” haircut and a controlling, superior attitude to go along with it: Karen is a mocking slang term for an entitled, obnoxious, middle-aged white woman. Especially as featured in memes, Karen is generally stereotyped as having a blonde bob haircut, asking to speak to retail and restaurant managers to voice complaints or make demands, and being a nagging, often divorced mother from Generation X.
KAREN
Gives raisins to kids on Halloween
drives an SUV to carpool her kids to soccer practice... better hope the ref doesn’t make a wrong call because she will sue!
love to use snapagram to post her workout selfies
after a long day of talking to managers and driving her kids around she sits down with her mom friends at book club and drinks lots and LOTS of wine
Urban Dictionary: Karen
Where a similar insult like “OK Boomer” stereotypes a specific generation, calling someone a “Karen” draws on associations people have built around extremely common names. But the stereotype the name conjures — at least in the US — is limited mainly to white women in their mid-30s or 40s. The archetypal “Karen” is blonde, has multiple young kids, and is usually an anti-vaxxer. Karen has a “can I speak to the manager” haircut and a controlling, superior attitude to go along with it: Karen is a mocking slang term for an entitled, obnoxious, middle-aged white woman. Especially as featured in memes, Karen is generally stereotyped as having a blonde bob haircut, asking to speak to retail and restaurant managers to voice complaints or make demands, and being a nagging, often divorced mother from Generation X.
KAREN
Gives raisins to kids on Halloween
drives an SUV to carpool her kids to soccer practice... better hope the ref doesn’t make a wrong call because she will sue!
love to use snapagram to post her workout selfies
after a long day of talking to managers and driving her kids around she sits down with her mom friends at book club and drinks lots and LOTS of wine
“oh my god Karen do you really have to talk to the Burger King manager every time they forget to give you a ketchup packet.“
“LOL! Yes!! I have to Facebook and instasnap it to all my friends to make sure everyone knows to watch out LOL!!!”
“LOL! Yes!! I have to Facebook and instasnap it to all my friends to make sure everyone knows to watch out LOL!!!”
Urban Dictionary: Karen
MODELING
It looks as if the death rate from the virus is flattening fast. I think we have seen the peak in exponential increase.
I don't know when it stops.. but at the current rate of increase.. if it doesn't fall more, we will lose about 70,000 by May 1. I don't believe it will get there.
The exponent continues to decline. We have turned the corner
April
21 42,906 1.04 Actual
22 45,382 1.05 Actual
23 47,992 1.05 Actual
24 50,401 1.05 Actual
25 52,400 1.04 Actual Note exponent dropping
26 54,100 1.03 Actual
27 55,548 1.03 Actual
28 57,214 1.03 PROJECTED
29 58,931 1.03 PROJECTED
30 60,699 1.03 PROJECTED
1 62,520 1.03 PROJECTED
2 64,395 1.03 PROJECTED
3 66,327 1.03 PROJECTED
4 68,317 1.03 PROJECTED
5 70,367 1.03 PROJECTED
6 72,478 1.03 PROJECTED
7 74,652 1.03 PROJECTED
8 76,891 1.03 PROJECTED
9 79,198 1.03 PROJECTED
10 81,574 1.03 PROJECTED
I still doubt we will get this far
I don't know when it stops.. but at the current rate of increase.. if it doesn't fall more, we will lose about 70,000 by May 1. I don't believe it will get there.
The exponent continues to decline. We have turned the corner
April
21 42,906 1.04 Actual
22 45,382 1.05 Actual
23 47,992 1.05 Actual
24 50,401 1.05 Actual
25 52,400 1.04 Actual Note exponent dropping
26 54,100 1.03 Actual
27 55,548 1.03 Actual
28 57,214 1.03 PROJECTED
29 58,931 1.03 PROJECTED
30 60,699 1.03 PROJECTED
1 62,520 1.03 PROJECTED
2 64,395 1.03 PROJECTED
3 66,327 1.03 PROJECTED
4 68,317 1.03 PROJECTED
5 70,367 1.03 PROJECTED
6 72,478 1.03 PROJECTED
7 74,652 1.03 PROJECTED
8 76,891 1.03 PROJECTED
9 79,198 1.03 PROJECTED
10 81,574 1.03 PROJECTED
I still doubt we will get this far
Monday, April 20, 2020
However you Die, you are Dead - no matter Race, Creed or Color
I am tracking the death toll that we are all obsessed over. How many are dying of the virus. Or at least the reporting says so.
In the whole of the USA currently the toll is
18 34,687 1.1 32,823 actual
19 38,156 1.17 38,046 PEAK
20 41,972 1.08 41,114 Starting to slow
at the same rate of increase here is what it looks like:
21 42,906 1.04
22 45,051 1.05
23 47,304 1.05
24 49,669 1.05
25 52,153 1.05
26 54,760 1.05
27 57,498 1.05
28 60,373 1.05
29 63,392 1.05
30 66,561 1.05
1 69,889 1.05
I doubt with all my being it will get that far. We'll see.
Yet at the same time Many are saying that an inordinate number of these deaths are taking a larger toll on people of Color. I'm not sure about that. But this much I do know.
In all of Illinois 1,290 have died of the virus. 877 of them are from Cook County. Nearly 70% of all deaths in the county are African American.
This can't be helped. There are many reason's why. Yet at the same time.. the shootings and murders continue.
The toll on people of Color in Chicago from murders is way out of proportion.
These Charts are from a website that tracks urban shootings and murder.
While too many people in Chicago are dying of virus... the other virus lives on.
In the whole of the USA currently the toll is
18 34,687 1.1 32,823 actual
19 38,156 1.17 38,046 PEAK
20 41,972 1.08 41,114 Starting to slow
at the same rate of increase here is what it looks like:
21 42,906 1.04
22 45,051 1.05
23 47,304 1.05
24 49,669 1.05
25 52,153 1.05
26 54,760 1.05
27 57,498 1.05
28 60,373 1.05
29 63,392 1.05
30 66,561 1.05
1 69,889 1.05
I doubt with all my being it will get that far. We'll see.
Yet at the same time Many are saying that an inordinate number of these deaths are taking a larger toll on people of Color. I'm not sure about that. But this much I do know.
In all of Illinois 1,290 have died of the virus. 877 of them are from Cook County. Nearly 70% of all deaths in the county are African American.
This can't be helped. There are many reason's why. Yet at the same time.. the shootings and murders continue.
The toll on people of Color in Chicago from murders is way out of proportion.
While too many people in Chicago are dying of virus... the other virus lives on.
Saturday, April 18, 2020
What BAD Governance in ILLINOIS looks like
Illinois has 102 Counties. 7 counties make up 95% of all the deaths from Corona Virus in the whole state. That means that 95 counties that behaved themselves are now being punished by a lock-down from the big boy Pritzger. If you look at the map on this link, you will see that most of the counties have sufferer only 1 or fewer fatalities. Yet Chicago and Cook Country pile up the Bodies like crazy. Illinois is not homogeneous. It is two very different places. 7 county and the rest. Time to break this mess into two states and let the new state buy it's own dead.
Look at this Link for the background to the two maps below:
Look at this Link for the background to the two maps below:
Friday, April 17, 2020
The LIES of NYC exposed
Today the exponent of increase spiked lot. It turns out it was all a lie. Twenty percent per day increase in one day. If that keeps up it's bad news. Changes a lot. But the statistic up till the 15th are actual number of deaths. The size of the exponent changes everything. Let's hope it stays down. Might be an anomaly. See the charts for information on this.
10 16693 1.12
11 18771 1.12
12 20473 1.1
13 22106 1.08
14 23649 1.07
15 26061 1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)
If nothing changes in % of increase
16 28,667 1.1 28,579 actual
17 31,534 1.2 34,784 actual?? I have doubts about this number. New York is fabricating
numbers. The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture. Suddenly the death toll was increased
Projected?
18 34,687 1.1 32,823 actual You will note this is a much lower number than reported out yesterday. People are lying to accuse Trump The exponent is now much lower and can be now projected as such
19 38,156 1.1 38,046
20 41,972 1.1 41,114 Starting to slow
21 46,169 1.1
22 50,786 1.1
23 55,864 1.1
24 61,450 1.1
25 67,596 1.1
26 74,355 1.1
27 81,791 1.1
28 89,970 1.1
29 98,967 1.1
30 108,863 1.1
May 1 119,750 1.1 Would be a staggering number. I don't believe it.. but important to know.
I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000. The worst is over.
THIS is the real chart
Here's how New York Reported it out
A Perspective you can grasp
This is all designed to make President Trump look bad
10 16693 1.12
11 18771 1.12
12 20473 1.1
13 22106 1.08
14 23649 1.07
15 26061 1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)
If nothing changes in % of increase
16 28,667 1.1 28,579 actual
17 31,534 1.2 34,784 actual?? I have doubts about this number. New York is fabricating
numbers. The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture. Suddenly the death toll was increased
Projected?
18 34,687 1.1 32,823 actual You will note this is a much lower number than reported out yesterday. People are lying to accuse Trump The exponent is now much lower and can be now projected as such
19 38,156 1.1 38,046
20 41,972 1.1 41,114 Starting to slow
21 46,169 1.1
22 50,786 1.1
23 55,864 1.1
24 61,450 1.1
25 67,596 1.1
26 74,355 1.1
27 81,791 1.1
28 89,970 1.1
29 98,967 1.1
30 108,863 1.1
May 1 119,750 1.1 Would be a staggering number. I don't believe it.. but important to know.
I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000. The worst is over.
This is all designed to make President Trump look bad
Thursday, April 16, 2020
These States Should be open now
The measure should be the number of deaths per million in population. All states are not created equal--
Wednesday, April 15, 2020
NOT GREAT NEWS
Today the exponent of increase spiked a bit. Ten percent per day increase. If that keeps up it's bad news. Changes a lot. But the statistic up till the 15th are actual number of deaths. The size of the exponent changes everything. Let's hope it stays down. Might be an anomaly.
10 16693 1.12
11 18771 1.12
12 20473 1.1
13 22106 1.08
14 23649 1.07
15 26061 1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)
If nothing changes in % of increase
16 28,667 1.1 28,579 actual
17 31,534 1.2 34,784 actual?? I have doubts about this number. New York is fabricating
numbers. The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture. Suddenly the death toll was increased
18 34,687 1.1
19 38,156 1.1
20 41,972 1.1
21 46,169 1.1
22 50,786 1.1
23 55,864 1.1
24 61,450 1.1
25 67,596 1.1
26 74,355 1.1
27 81,791 1.1
28 89,970 1.1
29 98,967 1.1
30 108,863 1.1
May 1 119,750 1.1 Would be a staggering number. I don't believe it.. but important to know.
I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000. The worst is over.
10 16693 1.12
11 18771 1.12
12 20473 1.1
13 22106 1.08
14 23649 1.07
15 26061 1.1 (actual, spiked exponent)
If nothing changes in % of increase
16 28,667 1.1 28,579 actual
17 31,534 1.2 34,784 actual?? I have doubts about this number. New York is fabricating
numbers. The additions they made from any death is a CV death has distorted the picture. Suddenly the death toll was increased
18 34,687 1.1
19 38,156 1.1
20 41,972 1.1
21 46,169 1.1
22 50,786 1.1
23 55,864 1.1
24 61,450 1.1
25 67,596 1.1
26 74,355 1.1
27 81,791 1.1
28 89,970 1.1
29 98,967 1.1
30 108,863 1.1
May 1 119,750 1.1 Would be a staggering number. I don't believe it.. but important to know.
I am still convinced it rolls off at around 40,000. The worst is over.
Tuesday, April 14, 2020
We will suffer fewer than 40,000 deaths
As the decline in death counts accelerates and the exponent becomes smaller and smaller, the argument to continue our national nightmare in lock down is less and less tangible.
There will be many people pointing to Prayer, Social Distancing, Stay Home Orders, Drugs, Medical Care, Herd Immunity, Masks and Hand Sanitizers as reasons why this is working.
I won't argue that some of this is true.. yet perhaps the virility of the virus is overstated. Surely those who were compromised already have been lost the most. They may not have made it into 2021 in any case.
Was it worth destroying the American Economic System for this? Was it worth going into national debt at an insane rate in this? 40,000 is not insignificant.. but it could have been manageable without.
Here's what my best educated guess is.. you can take it or leave it.
There will be many people pointing to Prayer, Social Distancing, Stay Home Orders, Drugs, Medical Care, Herd Immunity, Masks and Hand Sanitizers as reasons why this is working.
I won't argue that some of this is true.. yet perhaps the virility of the virus is overstated. Surely those who were compromised already have been lost the most. They may not have made it into 2021 in any case.
Was it worth destroying the American Economic System for this? Was it worth going into national debt at an insane rate in this? 40,000 is not insignificant.. but it could have been manageable without.
Here's what my best educated guess is.. you can take it or leave it.
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